Hugpong ng Pagbabago (HNP) polls 2026: 39.2% average & trends in Philippines
Philippines · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Pulse Asia · October 2026 · Rank #7 worldwide
Party Leader
Sara Duterte
Current Seats
—
Last Election
—
Next Election
2028
More context: Philippines polling tracker · election outlook
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
51.0%
6M average
51.0%
6M high
51.0%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 39.2% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: Pulse Asia, OCTA Research, WR Numero, Tangere
Pulse Asia
51.0%
1,500
0.0%
May 7–9
OCTA Research
33.0%
1,200
-2.9%
Mar 19–25
WR Numero
35.9%
1,455
-7.1%
Mar 10–17
Tangere
43.0%
1,200
+9.7%
Feb 19–20
WR Numero
33.3%
1,412
0.0%
Nov 21–28
Headline Ø 39.2% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from Pulse Asia, OCTA Research, WR Numero, Tangere, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
Hugpong ng Pagbabago (HNP) polling analysis & live summary — Philippines
October 2026 update: Hugpong ng Pagbabago (HNP) polls 39.2% in Philippines (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), steady +0.0 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Pulse Asia, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts Hugpong ng Pagbabago at #7 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Presidential on 2028-05-08 (in 570 days). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
Hugpong ng Pagbabago polls 39.2% in Philippines (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), essentially unchanged this quarter.
→ Holding steady
Hugpong ng Pagbabago polls 39.2% in Philippines (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), essentially unchanged this quarter with a -11.8 point drift across the verified window. Stability near this level suggests a solidified voter base but limited near-term upside. That places Hugpong ng Pagbabago #7 of 56 tracked parties worldwide — in the competitive upper half of the table.
For a party in this position, the task is to convert a plateau into a platform: a breakout in either direction in the next round of surveys would be the first meaningful signal after a flat quarter. Until then, organisational depth and turnout efficiency matter more than headlines.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Philippines
Quarterly Δ
+0.0 pts
Polling analysis
Hugpong ng Pagbabago (HNP) polls at 39.2% in Philippines: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
Hugpong ng Pagbabago is currently averaging 39.2% in national polling, essentially unchanged over the last quarter. Hugpong ng Pagbabago currently sits at 39.2% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Pulse Asia, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 39.2% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. A breakout in either direction in the next releases would be the first meaningful signal after a flat quarter. See the full Philippines polling tracker and the upcoming election outlook for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
A summary of this party program and ideological placement is being prepared. It will cover economic positions, cultural attitudes and institutional outlook in neutral academic language.
Voters asking "who is Hugpong ng Pagbabago?" or "what does Hugpong ng Pagbabago stand for?" find the party classified here as national conservatism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 39.2% and where further growth must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 39.2% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Pulse Asia, OCTA Research, WR Numero, Tangere — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Philippines include Pulse Asia, SWS, OCTA Research, WR Numero, Tangere — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pulse Asia | 51.0% | 1,500 | 0.0% | May 7–9 |
| OCTA Research | 33.0% | 1,200 | -2.9% | Mar 19–25 |
| WR Numero | 35.9% | 1,455 | -7.1% | Mar 10–17 |
| Tangere | 43.0% | 1,200 | +9.7% | Feb 19–20 |
| WR Numero | 33.3% | 1,412 | 0.0% | Nov 21–28 |
Party profile
Hugpong ng Pagbabago: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on Hugpong ng Pagbabago of Philippines — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
This party profile is being expanded by our editorial team. Founding dates, leadership transitions and electoral milestones will appear here once verified against reputable reference sources.
Ideology
A summary of this party program and ideological placement is being prepared. It will cover economic positions, cultural attitudes and institutional outlook in neutral academic language.
Voter demographics
A demographic breakdown of this party electorate is being compiled from published exit polls and survey research. Age, education, geography and turnout patterns will be summarised here.
FAQ
Hugpong ng Pagbabago polls: frequently asked questions
What is Hugpong ng Pagbabago polling at in 2026?
Hugpong ng Pagbabago polls 39.2% in Philippines as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is Hugpong ng Pagbabago rising or falling in the polls?
Hugpong ng Pagbabago is holding steady: ++0.0 points this quarter in Philippines, with the poll average at 39.2%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the Hugpong ng Pagbabago polling average calculated?
The 39.2% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Philippines — including the latest from Pulse Asia. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for Hugpong ng Pagbabago?
The next Presidential in Philippines is scheduled for 2028 (2028-05-08). Hugpong ng Pagbabago heads into that race averaging 39.2% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does Hugpong ng Pagbabago compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
Hugpong ng Pagbabago ranks #7 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (39.2%) — 15.3 points above the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do survey polls say about Hugpong ng Pagbabago?
In Philippines, "survey" searches land on the same verified average: Hugpong ng Pagbabago (HNP) polls 39.2% as of October 2026 ahead of the Congress race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Pulse Asia / SWS / OCTA Research polls say about HNP?
Accredited houses tracked for Philippines include Pulse Asia, SWS, OCTA Research. The 39.2% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Pulse Asia release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
