Canada · Polling tracker

Canada election polls & right-wing momentum

Name: Canada Right-Wing Polling Tracker
Creator: RightWingPolling
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Keywords: Canada election polls, Canada election polls 2026, Canada right-wing polling, Canada political opinion polls, who is leading in Canada, Canada poll of polls 2026, Canada voting intention 2026, Conservative Party of Canada polls, CPC polls Canada, Is Conservative Party of Canada rising in the polls, House of Commons election polls, House of Commons voting intention, Canada voting intention, Canada federal polls, Leger Canada poll, Nanos Research Canada poll, Abacus Data Canada poll

Verified tracking of political polls in Canada. Conservative Party of Canada polls 29.4% in our verified average (+5.0 points this quarter), with momentum, vote-share history and election countdown updated from verified public polls. Anyone searching "Canada polls", "who is winning or leading in Canada" or "Conservative Party of Canada poll tracker" lands here for the current number — then the dossier below for what it means.

Updated 2026-10-15 Federal held · 2025-03-09

Tracked in Canada · 1 party

Verified average (Ø) · quarterly change

Conservative Party of Canada polls: 29.4% average
Pierre Poilievre · 144 / 343 seats · Next: 2025

29.4%

↗ +5.0 pts

Anti-immigrationSocial ConservatismLaw and OrderAtlanticism
Open Conservative Party of Canada dossier →

Analysis

Canada right-wing momentum: what the 29.4% average says

Conservative Party of Canada currently sits at 29.4% in the verified average for Canada — +5.0 points on the quarter and the number every "Canada election polls" search is really asking about. The average is the mean of the last verified readings, so a single friendly or hostile survey cannot move it alone; persistence across records is the signal.

Context matters: Conservative Party of Canada, led by Pierre Poilievre (144 / 343 seats, last national result 41.3% · 2025, next vote 2025), is classified here as anti-immigration, social conservatism, law and order, atlanticism. With the next national date unconfirmed, the polling average doubles as the campaign baseline — every point of drift redraws the field before dates are even set.

Methodology in one line: mean of the last verified readings, no generated data — see Methodology and the open polls.json feed. Compare with the global polls hub or jump to the Conservative Party of Canada dossier for charts and institute-level detail.

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Canonical source for this page: https://rightwingpolling.com/polls/canada