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Conservative Party of Canada logo

Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) polls 2026: 29.4% average & trends in Canada

Canada · Right-wing Polling

Verified average · Abacus Data · October 2026 · Rank #17 worldwide

↗ Rising +5.0 pts vs previous quarter
29.4%

Poll average · avg of 5 recent polls

Party Leader

Pierre Poilievre

Current Seats

144 / 343

Last Election

41.3% · 2025

Next Election

2025

More context: Canada polling tracker

Polling history · verified readings

Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details

Conservative Party of Canada support
28.0%Week 41 · Oct 5, 2026

6M low

28.0%

6M average

38.9%

6M high

41.4%

Verified average · not a prediction

How the average is built

Ø 29.4% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: Abacus Data, Liaison Strategies, Nanos Research, Ekos

Abacus Data

34.0%

+5.0%

Liaison Strategies

29.0%

-0.5%

Nanos Research

29.5%

+1.5%

Liaison Strategies

28.0%

+1.6%

Ekos

26.4%

0.0%

Headline Ø 29.4% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from Abacus Data, Liaison Strategies, Nanos Research, Ekos, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.

Live summary · October 2026

Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) — Parti conservateur du Canada polling analysis & live summary — Canada

October 2026 update: Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) — Parti conservateur du Canada polls 29.4% in Canada (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), rising +5.0 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Abacus Data, recorded 2026-10-15.

That puts Conservative Party of Canada at #17 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Federal on 2025-03-09 (held). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.

Analysis

What the numbers say

Conservative Party of Canada polls 29.4% in Canada (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), up 5.0 points this quarter.

↗ Surging momentum

Conservative Party of Canada polls 29.4% in Canada (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), gaining +5.0 points over the last quarter with a -11.5 point move across the verified window. That places Conservative Party of Canada #17 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.

If Conservative Party of Canada can capitalize on current trends, consecutive gains tend to compound through media coverage, donor confidence and bandwagon polling effects. Watch whether the next round of releases confirms the average above 29.4% — a hold above that line would signal consolidation rather than a single-poll outlier, while a second straight quarterly gain would put rivals under severe strategic pressure.

Verified basis

5 recent polls

Last update

October 2026

Country

Canada

Quarterly Δ

+5.0 pts

Polling analysis

Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) polls at 29.4% in Canada: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown

Current standing

Conservative Party of Canada is currently averaging 29.4% in national polling, reflecting a 5.0% shift upward over the last quarter. Conservative Party of Canada (locally listed as Parti conservateur du Canada) currently sits at 29.4% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Abacus Data, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 29.4% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. If the next releases confirm Conservative Party of Canada above 29.4%, the quarter counts as consolidation rather than noise. See the full Canada polling tracker for coalition context.

Key issues & ideology

Anti-immigrationSocial ConservatismLaw and OrderAtlanticism

Canadian Conservatism combines fiscal conservatism with a decentralised view of federalism. The party advocates lower taxes, balanced budgets, streamlined regulation and expanded oil, gas and pipeline development, arguing that resource wealth funds public services.

Voters asking "who is Conservative Party of Canada?" or "what does Conservative Party of Canada stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, social conservatism, law and order — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 29.4% and where further growth must come from.

Pollster breakdown: how the 29.4% average is built

The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Abacus Data, Liaison Strategies, Nanos Research, Ekos — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Canada include Leger, Nanos Research, Abacus Data, Ipsos, Angus Reid, Mainstreet — see Methodology for inclusion rules.

Pollster Figure Sample Change Fieldwork
Abacus Data 34.0% 3,197 +5.0% October 13, 2026
Liaison Strategies 29.0% 1,263 -0.5% October 10, 2026
Nanos Research 29.5% 1,034 +1.5% October 9, 2026
Liaison Strategies 28.0% 1,526 +1.6% October 3, 2026
Ekos 26.4% 2,020 0.0% October 2, 2026

Party profile

Conservative Party of Canada: history, ideology and voters

A concise reference on Conservative Party of Canada of Canada — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.

History

The Conservative Party of Canada was created in December 2003 through the merger of the Progressive Conservative Party and the Canadian Alliance, ending a decade of vote-splitting on the Canadian right that had kept the Liberals in power. Under founding leader Stephen Harper the new party won minority governments in 2006 and 2008 and a majority in 2011, governing for nearly a decade on a platform of tax cuts, tough-on-crime legislation and incremental social conservatism. Defeat in 2015 to Justin Trudeau and the Liberals began a period of opposition and leadership churn: Andrew Scheer (2017-2020) and Erin O and Toole (2020-2022) each lost one election before being replaced. Pierre Poilievre, elected leader in 2022 on the first ballot, moved the party toward a sharper populist message on housing costs, inflation and carbon taxes, and built a commanding polling lead through 2024. The 2025 federal election nevertheless returned the Liberals under Mark Carney, although the Conservatives posted one of their highest popular-vote shares in decades and retained their dominance across the Prairies. Poilievre remained leader after the defeat, positioning the party for the next cycle.

Ideology

Canadian Conservatism combines fiscal conservatism with a decentralised view of federalism. The party advocates lower taxes, balanced budgets, streamlined regulation and expanded oil, gas and pipeline development, arguing that resource wealth funds public services. It opposes consumer carbon taxes, favours their replacement with technology-driven emissions policy, and supports tougher sentencing for violent and repeat offenders. On social questions the party is officially neutral on settled debates such as abortion and same-sex marriage, a stance successive leaders have maintained to reassure suburban voters, while its base includes a significant social-conservative wing. Canadian conservatives are generally pro-immigration in principle, supporting high, skills-based intakes, but demand orderly processing and criticise backlogs. Foreign policy is Atlanticist and pro-American on trade and defence, with strong support for Ukraine and Israel. Compared with its American and British counterparts the CPC is a moderate centre-right party, constrained by a political culture that expects universal healthcare and an activist federal state.

Voter demographics

The Conservative base is concentrated in Alberta, Saskatchewan and rural Manitoba, where the party routinely wins large majorities, supplemented by suburban ridings around Toronto, Vancouver and Ottawa. Its electorate skews male, middle-aged and middle-income, over-representing trades workers, farmers, small-business owners and resource-sector employees. The party performs strongly among voters focused on cost-of-living pressures, particularly homeowners with mortgages and young families priced out of housing markets. Ethnic outreach has been a longstanding project since the Harper years: Conservatives compete seriously for South Asian, Chinese, Filipino and Middle Eastern suburban communities with socially conservative values and entrepreneurial profiles. The party trails among young urban renters, university-educated professionals, public-sector workers and francophone Quebecers outside Quebec City. Seniors and veterans remain loyal pillars, while the Poilievre-era surge added first-time young male voters attracted by housing and anti-establishment messaging.

FAQ

Conservative Party of Canada polls: frequently asked questions

What is Conservative Party of Canada polling at in 2026?

Conservative Party of Canada polls 29.4% in Canada as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.

Is Conservative Party of Canada rising or falling in the polls?

Conservative Party of Canada is rising: ++5.0 points this quarter in Canada, with the poll average at 29.4%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.

How is the Conservative Party of Canada polling average calculated?

The 29.4% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Canada — including the latest from Abacus Data. Full rules are on our Methodology page.

When is the next election for Conservative Party of Canada?

The next Federal in Canada is expected around 2025 (2025-03-09). Conservative Party of Canada heads into that race averaging 29.4% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.

How does Conservative Party of Canada compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?

Conservative Party of Canada ranks #17 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (29.4%) — 5.5 points above the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.

What do voting intention polls say about Conservative Party of Canada (Parti conservateur du Canada)?

In Canada, "voting intention" searches land on the same verified average: Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) polls 29.4% as of October 2026 ahead of the House of Commons race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.

What do Leger / Nanos Research / Abacus Data polls say about CPC?

Accredited houses tracked for Canada include Leger, Nanos Research, Abacus Data. The 29.4% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Leger release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.

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