Japan · Polling tracker
Japan election polls & right-wing momentum
Verified tracking of political polls in Japan. Liberal Democratic Party polls 33.8% in our verified average (+0.6 points this quarter), with momentum, vote-share history and election countdown updated from verified public polls. Anyone searching "Japan polls", "who is winning or leading in Japan" or "Liberal Democratic Party poll tracker" lands here for the current number — then the dossier below for what it means.
Tracked in Japan · 1 party
Verified average (Ø) · quarterly change
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Liberal Democratic Party polls: 33.8% averageSanae Takaichi · 191 / 465 seats · Next: 2030
33.8%
↗ +0.6 pts
Anti-immigrationNational ConservatismOpen Liberal Democratic Party dossier →
Analysis
Japan right-wing momentum: what the 33.8% average says
Liberal Democratic Party currently sits at 33.8% in the verified average for Japan — +0.6 points on the quarter and the number every "Japan election polls" search is really asking about. The average is the mean of the last verified readings, so a single friendly or hostile survey cannot move it alone; persistence across records is the signal.
Context matters: Liberal Democratic Party, led by Sanae Takaichi (191 / 465 seats, last national result 26.7% · 2024, next vote 2030), is classified here as anti-immigration, national conservatism. With the General 1211 days out, the question is whether 33.8% is a floor or a ceiling — the trajectory into election week decides coalition math.
Methodology in one line: mean of the last verified readings, no generated data — see Methodology and the open polls.json feed. Compare with the global polls hub or jump to the Liberal Democratic Party dossier for charts and institute-level detail.
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Canonical source for this page: https://rightwingpolling.com/polls/japan