New Zealand · Polling tracker
New Zealand election polls & right-wing momentum
Verified tracking of political polls in New Zealand. ACT New Zealand polls 9.6% in our verified average (+0.8 points this quarter), with momentum, vote-share history and election countdown updated from verified public polls. Anyone searching "New Zealand polls", "who is winning or leading in New Zealand" or "ACT New Zealand poll tracker" lands here for the current number — then the dossier below for what it means.
Tracked in New Zealand · 1 party
Verified average (Ø) · quarterly change
- Economic LiberalismLaw and OrderRight-Wing PopulismAtlanticismOpen ACT New Zealand dossier →
Analysis
New Zealand right-wing momentum: what the 9.6% average says
ACT New Zealand currently sits at 9.6% in the verified average for New Zealand — +0.8 points on the quarter and the number every "New Zealand election polls" search is really asking about. The average is the mean of the last verified readings, so a single friendly or hostile survey cannot move it alone; persistence across records is the signal.
Context matters: ACT New Zealand, led by David Seymour (11 / 123 seats, last national result 8.6% · 2023, next vote 2026), is classified here as economic liberalism, law and order, right-wing populism, atlanticism. With the General 22 days out, the question is whether 9.6% is a floor or a ceiling — the trajectory into election week decides coalition math.
Methodology in one line: mean of the last verified readings, no generated data — see Methodology and the open polls.json feed. Compare with the global polls hub or jump to the ACT New Zealand dossier for charts and institute-level detail.
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