United Kingdom · Polling tracker
United Kingdom election polls & right-wing momentum
Verified tracking of political polls in United Kingdom. Reform UK polls 22.6% in our verified average (-2.0 points this quarter), with momentum, vote-share history and election countdown updated from verified public polls. Anyone searching "United Kingdom polls", "who is winning or leading in United Kingdom" or "Reform UK poll tracker" lands here for the current number — then the dossier below for what it means.
Tracked in United Kingdom · 1 party
Verified average (Ø) · quarterly change
- Anti-immigrationEconomic LiberalismLaw and OrderRight-Wing PopulismClimate ScepticismOpen Reform UK dossier →
Analysis
United Kingdom right-wing momentum: what the 22.6% average says
Reform UK currently sits at 22.6% in the verified average for United Kingdom — -2.0 points on the quarter and the number every "United Kingdom election polls" search is really asking about. The average is the mean of the last verified readings, so a single friendly or hostile survey cannot move it alone; persistence across records is the signal.
Context matters: Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage (5 / 650 seats, last national result 30.5% · 2019, next vote 2029), is classified here as anti-immigration, economic liberalism, law and order, right-wing populism, climate scepticism. With the General 1034 days out, the question is whether 22.6% is a floor or a ceiling — the trajectory into election week decides coalition math.
Methodology in one line: mean of the last verified readings, no generated data — see Methodology and the open polls.json feed. Compare with the global polls hub or jump to the Reform UK dossier for charts and institute-level detail.
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Canonical source for this page: https://rightwingpolling.com/polls/uk