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Alliance for the Union of Romanians logo

Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) polls 2026: 22.4% average & trends in Romania

Romania · Right-wing Polling

Verified average · INSCOP · October 2026 · Rank #30 worldwide

↘ Falling -10.4 pts vs previous quarter
22.4%

Poll average · latest verified poll

Party Leader

Mihai Enache

Current Seats

61 / 330

Last Election

18.3% · 2024

Next Election

2028

More context: Romania polling tracker · election outlook

Polling history · verified readings

Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details

Alliance for the Union of Romanians support
22.4%Week 41 · Oct 5, 2026

6M low

22.4%

6M average

29.8%

6M high

32.6%

Verified average · not a prediction

How the average is built

Ø 22.4% = latest verified reading · latest: INSCOP

INSCOP

22.4%

-10.4%

Headline Ø 22.4% = latest verified reading from INSCOP, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.

Live summary · October 2026

Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) — Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor polling analysis & live summary — Romania

October 2026 update: Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) — Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor polls 22.4% in Romania (latest verified poll (INSCOP)), cooling -10.4 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from INSCOP, recorded 2026-10-15.

That puts Alliance for the Union of Romanians at #30 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Parliamentary on 2028-11-30 (in 776 days). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.

Analysis

What the numbers say

Alliance for the Union of Romanians polls 22.4% in Romania (latest verified poll (INSCOP)), down 10.4 points this quarter.

↘ Facing headwinds

Alliance for the Union of Romanians has dropped by 10.4 points to a 22.4% average in Romania (latest verified reading), with a -5.1 point shift across the verified window. The pullback does not erase its structural position — but it warrants attention. That places Alliance for the Union of Romanians #30 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.

The key question is whether this is consolidation or the start of a slide: a second consecutive quarterly decline would suggest the 10.4-point drop is a trend rather than noise. The next round of releases is the decisive test — stabilisation near 22.4% would indicate a floor, while further erosion would force a rethink of strategy, messaging and voter targeting.

Verified basis

Latest poll

Last update

October 2026

Country

Romania

Quarterly Δ

-10.4 pts

Polling analysis

Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) polls at 22.4% in Romania: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown

Current standing

Alliance for the Union of Romanians is currently averaging 22.4% in national polling, reflecting a 10.4% shift downward over the last quarter. Alliance for the Union of Romanians (locally listed as Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor) currently sits at 22.4% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: INSCOP, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 22.4% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. Stabilisation near 22.4% in the next releases would mark a floor; further erosion would confirm a slide. See the full Romania polling tracker and the upcoming election outlook for coalition context.

Key issues & ideology

EuroscepticNational ConservatismEconomic LiberalismSocial ConservatismRight-Wing Populism

AUR ideology is unionist nationalism with Orthodox-messianic colouring: Greater Romania, Moldovan reunification, the defence of church, family and the peasant against Brussels progressivism. It demands Romanian-first hiring, food sovereignty, the renationalisation of energy and forests, and resistance to EU migration quotas, green restoration laws and what it calls gender ideology.

Voters asking "who is Alliance for the Union of Romanians?" or "what does Alliance for the Union of Romanians stand for?" find the party classified here as eurosceptic, national conservatism, economic liberalism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 22.4% and where further recovery must come from.

Pollster breakdown: how the 22.4% average is built

The table below shows the verified reading behind the headline (INSCOP — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Romania include INSCOP, CURS, Avangarde, Sociopol, CIRA, BCS — see Methodology for inclusion rules.

Pollster Figure Sample Change Fieldwork
INSCOP 22.4% — -10.4% Oct 15, 2026

Party profile

Alliance for the Union of Romanians: history, ideology and voters

A concise reference on Alliance for the Union of Romanians of Romania — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.

History

The Alliance for the Union of Romanians (Alianta pentru Unirea Romanilor, AUR) was founded in September 2019 by George Simion, a civic activist famous for unionist marches demanding reunification with Moldova, and Claudiu Tarziu. Written off as folklore, it stormed parliament in December 2020 with 9 percent, channelling pandemic anger, diaspora nostalgia and TikTok-native campaigning. AUR grew through anti-lockdown, anti-green-certificate and anti-Ukraine-aid agitation, absorbing the electorates of collapsed protest parties. The 2024 super-election year made it Romania and the second force: Simion took 13.9 percent in the annulled presidential first round, then 46.4 percent in the May 2025 re-run run-off against Nicusor Dan, while AUR topped the parliamentary tables on the nationalist wave. Court battles over TikTok manipulation and Russian-interference allegations shadowed the breakthrough without reversing it. By 2026 AUR led national polling near one-third, with Simion exporting the model to Brussels through the European Conservatives and Reformists group and courting the Romanian diaspora from Chisinau to Madrid.

Ideology

AUR ideology is unionist nationalism with Orthodox-messianic colouring: Greater Romania, Moldovan reunification, the defence of church, family and the peasant against Brussels progressivism. It demands Romanian-first hiring, food sovereignty, the renationalisation of energy and forests, and resistance to EU migration quotas, green restoration laws and what it calls gender ideology. The party is the most pro-sovereigntist voice on Ukraine: opposing grain transit damage to farmers, military aid and the war narrative, which critics read as Kremlin-adjacent. Historically it rehabilitates interwar figures including Marshal Antonescu, drawing condemnation from Jewish organisations. Economically it mixes pension populism with flat-tax nostalgia and SME romanticism. The movement and the style — marches, monastery blessings, influencer deputies — scandalises Bucharest elites. Researchers classify AUR as nationalist radical right with irredentist and clerical traits unusual in the region.

Voter demographics

AUR voters are the young, the diaspora and the devout periphery: under-35 men radicalised on TikTok, Romanian workers in Italy, Spain, Britain and Germany voting at consulates, and small-town Orthodox families. The party dominates among vocational youth, truckers, construction workers abroad and first-time voters, and underperforms among Bucharest professionals, Hungarian ethnics (who back UDMR) and the elderly PSD/PNL clientele. Monks, priests and pilgrimage networks supply moral infrastructure; football ultras supply muscle. Women lag men substantially. Education predicts opposition: degrees vote Dan or Lasconi; practical schooling votes Simion. Turnout is AUR and the weapon — diaspora queues and youth mobilisation decide its ceiling — and also its volatility, since protest voters defect between cycles.

FAQ

Alliance for the Union of Romanians polls: frequently asked questions

What is Alliance for the Union of Romanians polling at in 2026?

Alliance for the Union of Romanians polls 22.4% in Romania as of October 2026, based on the latest verified reading from INSCOP. The figure updates with every verified release.

Is Alliance for the Union of Romanians rising or falling in the polls?

Alliance for the Union of Romanians is falling: -10.4 points this quarter in Romania, with the poll average at 22.4%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.

How is the Alliance for the Union of Romanians polling average calculated?

The 22.4% headline is the latest verified reading from INSCOP in Romania. Full rules are on our Methodology page.

When is the next election for Alliance for the Union of Romanians?

The next Parliamentary in Romania is expected around 2028 (2028-11-30). Alliance for the Union of Romanians heads into that race averaging 22.4% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.

How does Alliance for the Union of Romanians compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?

Alliance for the Union of Romanians ranks #30 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (22.4%) — 1.5 points below the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.

What do sondaje electorale polls say about Alliance for the Union of Romanians (Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor)?

In Romania, "sondaje electorale" searches land on the same verified average: Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) polls 22.4% as of October 2026 ahead of the Camera Deputaților race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.

What do INSCOP / CURS / Avangarde polls say about AUR?

Accredited houses tracked for Romania include INSCOP, CURS, Avangarde. The 22.4% headline is the mean of the last verified reading from INSCOP — so no single INSCOP release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.

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