Democratic Centre (CD) polls 2026: 6.9% average & trends in Colombia
Colombia · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Invamer · October 2026 · Rank #50 worldwide
Party Leader
Álvaro Uribe
Current Seats
16 / 188
Last Election
11.5% · 2022
Next Election
2026
More context: Colombia polling tracker
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
6.7%
6M average
8.8%
6M high
10.7%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 6.9% = latest verified reading · latest: Invamer
Invamer
6.9%
—
-3.7%
Oct 15, 2026
Headline Ø 6.9% = latest verified reading from Invamer, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
Democratic Centre (CD) — Centro Democrático polling analysis & live summary — Colombia
October 2026 update: Democratic Centre (CD) — Centro Democrático polls 6.9% in Colombia (latest verified poll (Invamer)), cooling -3.7 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Invamer, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts Democratic Centre at #50 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Legislative on 2026-03-08 (held). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
Democratic Centre polls 6.9% in Colombia (latest verified poll (Invamer)), down 3.7 points this quarter.
↘ Facing headwinds
Democratic Centre has dropped by 3.7 points to a 6.9% average in Colombia (latest verified reading), with a -0.1 point shift across the verified window. The pullback does not erase its structural position — but it warrants attention. That places Democratic Centre #50 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
The key question is whether this is consolidation or the start of a slide: a second consecutive quarterly decline would suggest the 3.7-point drop is a trend rather than noise. The next round of releases is the decisive test — stabilisation near 6.9% would indicate a floor, while further erosion would force a rethink of strategy, messaging and voter targeting.
Verified basis
Latest poll
Last update
October 2026
Country
Colombia
Quarterly Δ
-3.7 pts
Polling analysis
Democratic Centre (CD) polls at 6.9% in Colombia: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
Democratic Centre is currently averaging 6.9% in national polling, reflecting a 3.7% shift downward over the last quarter. Democratic Centre (locally listed as Centro Democrático) currently sits at 6.9% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Invamer, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 6.9% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. Stabilisation near 6.9% in the next releases would mark a floor; further erosion would confirm a slide. See the full Colombia polling tracker for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
Uribismo is democratic security plus market orthodoxy: no impunity for FARC dissidents and ELN, extradition-friendly drug war, investment-confidence economics and institutional defence against Petro and the constituent-assembly temptations. The party defends private health providers (EPS), pension funds, labour flexibility and extractive-led growth, while opposing tax hikes, land invasions and what it calls Castro-Chavismo.
Voters asking "who is Democratic Centre?" or "what does Democratic Centre stand for?" find the party classified here as social conservatism, right-wing populism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 6.9% and where further recovery must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 6.9% average is built
The table below shows the verified reading behind the headline (Invamer — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Colombia include Invamer, Datexco, Guarumo, CNC, Cifras y Conceptos — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Invamer | 6.9% | — | -3.7% | Oct 15, 2026 |
Party profile
Democratic Centre: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on Democratic Centre of Colombia — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
Democratic Centre (Centro Democratico) was founded in 2013 by former president Alvaro Uribe after breaking with Juan Manuel Santos over Havana peace talks with the FARC — the mano firme movement institutionalised as a party. It topped the 2014 legislative elections and nearly took the presidency with Oscar Ivan Zuluaga, then led the victorious No campaign in the 2016 peace plebiscite, the high-water mark of Uribismo. Ivan Duque and the 2018 presidential victory gave the party government (2018-22), remembered for pandemic management, Venezuelan-migrant regularisation and the 2021 paro nacional unrest that wrecked its standing. The 2022 defeat to Gustavo Petro, the first leftist president, pushed the CD into hard opposition; legislative benches shrank and regional machines frayed. Through 2024-26, with Petro and the reforms stalling and security deteriorating, the party polled near 10 percent under figures like Miguel Uribe Turbay and Maria Fernanda Cabal, positioning as the democratic-right alternative in a crowded field also containing Vargas Lleras and the ex-mayors — relevant, diminished, and still Uribe and the personal property. The 2026 congressional campaign, fought on Petro and the security record and the stalled health reform, offered the first realistic path back to pivotal status.
Ideology
Uribismo is democratic security plus market orthodoxy: no impunity for FARC dissidents and ELN, extradition-friendly drug war, investment-confidence economics and institutional defence against Petro and the constituent-assembly temptations. The party defends private health providers (EPS), pension funds, labour flexibility and extractive-led growth, while opposing tax hikes, land invasions and what it calls Castro-Chavismo. Socially it is Catholic-conservative on abortion, drugs and family, with an evangelical-adjacent flank. Foreign policy is Washington-aligned, pro-Israel and hostile to Venezuela and the regime. The Santos betrayal narrative structures its identity: peace without punishment as original sin. Scholars place it as the Colombian populist right — personalist around Uribe, programmatic on security, oligarchic in composition. On decentralisation it defends departmental autonomy and the fiscal rule, presenting technocratic competence as the antidote to both populisms.
Voter demographics
CD voters are Antioquia and the coffee-axis heartlands, Medellin professionals, cattlemen, agro-industrialists and urban security voters. The party wins Mass-goers, private-university graduates, military families and Venezuelan-migrant employers demanding order. It loses the Pacific coast, the south, Bogota and the youth, students and public teachers overwhelmingly. Women split evenly; men lean CD slightly. Former Liberal and Conservative notables supply cadres; fear of Petro supplies votes. Turnout is class-skewed as ever: Uribista strongholds vote heavily, while the party and the 2022 abstention in Antioquia proved fatal — a lesson internalised for 2026. Colombian emigrants voting from Miami and Madrid back the party at far higher rates than residents, adding a vocal diaspora wing.
FAQ
Democratic Centre polls: frequently asked questions
What is Democratic Centre polling at in 2026?
Democratic Centre polls 6.9% in Colombia as of October 2026, based on the latest verified reading from Invamer. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is Democratic Centre rising or falling in the polls?
Democratic Centre is falling: -3.7 points this quarter in Colombia, with the poll average at 6.9%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the Democratic Centre polling average calculated?
The 6.9% headline is the latest verified reading from Invamer in Colombia. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for Democratic Centre?
The next Legislative in Colombia is scheduled for 2026 (2026-03-08). Democratic Centre heads into that race averaging 6.9% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does Democratic Centre compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
Democratic Centre ranks #50 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (6.9%) — 17.0 points below the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do encuestas electorales polls say about Democratic Centre (Centro Democrático)?
In Colombia, "encuestas electorales" searches land on the same verified average: Democratic Centre (CD) polls 6.9% as of October 2026 ahead of the Congreso race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Invamer / Datexco / Guarumo polls say about CD?
Accredited houses tracked for Colombia include Invamer, Datexco, Guarumo. The 6.9% headline is the mean of the last verified reading from Invamer — so no single Invamer release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
