Chega polls 2026: 29.0% average & trends in Portugal
Portugal · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Aximage · October 2026 · Rank #18 worldwide
Party Leader
André Ventura
Current Seats
60 / 230
Last Election
22.8% · 2025
Next Election
2029
More context: Portugal polling tracker · election outlook
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
18.2%
6M average
21.1%
6M high
29.0%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 29.0% = latest verified reading · latest: Aximage
Aximage
29.0%
—
+6.6%
Oct 15, 2026
Headline Ø 29.0% = latest verified reading from Aximage, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
Chega polling analysis & live summary — Portugal
October 2026 update: Chega polls 29.0% in Portugal (latest verified poll (Aximage)), rising +6.6 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Aximage, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts Chega at #18 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Legislative on 2029-10-14 (in 1094 days). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
Chega polls 29.0% in Portugal (latest verified poll (Aximage)), up 6.6 points this quarter.
↗ Surging momentum
Chega polls 29.0% in Portugal (latest verified reading), gaining +6.6 points over the last quarter with a +11.6 point move across the verified window. That places Chega #18 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
If Chega can capitalize on current trends, consecutive gains tend to compound through media coverage, donor confidence and bandwagon polling effects. Watch whether the next round of releases confirms the average above 29.0% — a hold above that line would signal consolidation rather than a single-poll outlier, while a second straight quarterly gain would put rivals under severe strategic pressure.
Verified basis
Latest poll
Last update
October 2026
Country
Portugal
Quarterly Δ
+6.6 pts
Polling analysis
Chega polls at 29.0% in Portugal: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
Chega is currently averaging 29.0% in national polling, reflecting a 6.6% shift upward over the last quarter. Chega currently sits at 29.0% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Aximage, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 29.0% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. If the next releases confirm Chega above 29.0%, the quarter counts as consolidation rather than noise. See the full Portugal polling tracker and the upcoming election outlook for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
Chega mixes national conservatism with strident anti-establishment messaging. It demands chemical castration for paedophiles, life sentences, Roma-specific policing plans, welfare conditionality and a parliamentary purge of corrupt elites, including cuts to deputies and privileges.
Voters asking "who is Chega?" or "what does Chega stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, economic liberalism, social conservatism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 29.0% and where further growth must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 29.0% average is built
The table below shows the verified reading behind the headline (Aximage — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Portugal include Aximage, Intercampus, Consulmark2, ICS-ISCTE, Pitágorica, Eurosondagem — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aximage | 29.0% | — | +6.6% | Oct 15, 2026 |
Party profile
Chega: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on Chega of Portugal — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
Chega (Enough) was founded in April 2019 by Andre Ventura, a former PSD municipal councillor, football pundit and television commentator who broke with the centre-right over corruption and Roma crime narratives. It entered parliament later that year with a single seat — Ventura himself — and the novelty of a radical-right deputy in a country that prided itself on immunity. The 2021 presidential race, in which Ventura took 11.9 percent and third place, proved the market; the 2022 snap election delivered 12 seats and the 2024 election a breakthrough of 50 seats and 18 percent, making Chega the third force and kingmaker of a hung parliament. The 2025 snap election confirmed the surge: around 23 percent and 60 seats, level with the Socialists, amid the Spinumviva scandal engulfing the AD government. Ventura and the formula — televised confrontation, anti-corruption crusades, Roma baiting and law-and-order maximalism — imported the European populist playbook into a party system that had resisted it longest. Municipal implantation through 2025 gave Chega councillors and local machines for the first time.
Ideology
Chega mixes national conservatism with strident anti-establishment messaging. It demands chemical castration for paedophiles, life sentences, Roma-specific policing plans, welfare conditionality and a parliamentary purge of corrupt elites, including cuts to deputies and privileges. Immigration, negligible until recently, became a flagship as arrivals from South Asia and Lusophone Africa grew: quotas, deportations and nationality restrictions. Economically the party began as flat-tax liberal under Ventura and the economist mentors, then drifted toward pension and wage populism to court workers. It is Atlanticist and pro-NATO, supportive of Ukraine, sceptical of EU federalism but not of membership, and culturally Catholic-traditionalist on abortion, euthanasia and gender. The 2020 convention and the flirtations with race-tinged rhetoric drew accusations of racism that Ventura deflects as anti-political-correctness. Analysts file Chega as populist radical right with personalist leadership, Southern-European style.
Voter demographics
Chega voters are angry suburbanites and small-town strivers: men, the middle-aged, small traders, police, construction workers and Algarve tourism staff squeezed by wages and housing. The party overperforms in the Lisbon periphery, Setubal, the Alentejo and the Algarve, and underperforms in Porto and the academic north. Education effects are stark: basic and secondary schooling predicts Chega; degrees predict the left or the liberal IL. Evangelical and traditional Catholic voters sympathise; young men radicalised on YouTube and TikTok form the shock troops. Former PSD voters supply the respectable wing, former abstainers the numbers. Women lag men by several points amid Ventura and the macho persona. Roma are the designated folk devil — and the rare community that votes against Chega unanimously.
FAQ
Chega polls: frequently asked questions
What is Chega polling at in 2026?
Chega polls 29.0% in Portugal as of October 2026, based on the latest verified reading from Aximage. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is Chega rising or falling in the polls?
Chega is rising: ++6.6 points this quarter in Portugal, with the poll average at 29.0%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the Chega polling average calculated?
The 29.0% headline is the latest verified reading from Aximage in Portugal. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for Chega?
The next Legislative in Portugal is expected around 2029 (2029-10-14). Chega heads into that race averaging 29.0% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does Chega compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
Chega ranks #18 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (29.0%) — 5.1 points above the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do sondagens legislativas polls say about Chega?
In Portugal, "sondagens legislativas" searches land on the same verified average: Chega (Chega) polls 29.0% as of October 2026 ahead of the Assembleia da República race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Aximage / Intercampus / Consulmark2 polls say about Chega?
Accredited houses tracked for Portugal include Aximage, Intercampus, Consulmark2. The 29.0% headline is the mean of the last verified reading from Aximage — so no single Aximage release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
