Homeland Movement (DP) polls 2026: 2.2% average & trends in Croatia
Croatia · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Promocija plus · October 2026 · Rank #56 worldwide
Party Leader
Ivan Penava
Current Seats
14 / 151
Last Election
9.6% · 2024
Next Election
2028
More context: Croatia polling tracker · election outlook
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
2.8%
6M average
7.0%
6M high
8.5%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 2.2% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: Promocija plus, Ipsos
Promocija plus
1.8%
—
-1.0%
11 Oct 2026
Ipsos
2.8%
—
+1.2%
22 Sep 2026
Promocija plus
1.6%
—
-0.8%
6 Sep 2026
Ipsos
2.4%
—
-0.2%
26 Aug 2026
Ipsos
2.6%
—
0.0%
31 Jul 2026
Headline Ø 2.2% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from Promocija plus, Ipsos, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
Homeland Movement (DP) — Domovinski pokret polling analysis & live summary — Croatia
October 2026 update: Homeland Movement (DP) — Domovinski pokret polls 2.2% in Croatia (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), cooling -1.0 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Promocija plus, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts Homeland Movement at #56 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Parliamentary on 2028-04-30 (in 562 days). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
Homeland Movement polls 2.2% in Croatia (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), down 1.0 points this quarter.
↘ Facing headwinds
Homeland Movement has dropped by 1.0 points to a 2.2% average in Croatia (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), with a -3.7 point shift across the verified window. The pullback does not erase its structural position — but it warrants attention. That places Homeland Movement #56 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
The key question is whether this is consolidation or the start of a slide: a second consecutive quarterly decline would suggest the 1.0-point drop is a trend rather than noise. The next round of releases is the decisive test — stabilisation near 2.2% would indicate a floor, while further erosion would force a rethink of strategy, messaging and voter targeting.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Croatia
Quarterly Δ
-1.0 pts
Polling analysis
Homeland Movement (DP) polls at 2.2% in Croatia: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
Homeland Movement is currently averaging 2.2% in national polling, reflecting a 1.0% shift downward over the last quarter. Homeland Movement (locally listed as Domovinski pokret) currently sits at 2.2% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Promocija plus, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 2.2% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. Stabilisation near 2.2% in the next releases would mark a floor; further erosion would confirm a slide. See the full Croatia polling tracker and the upcoming election outlook for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
DP ideology is Slavonian sovereignism: demographic revival (baby bonuses, housing for young families), agricultural protection against imports and green rules, energy sovereignty and the defence of the Homeland War dignity against revisionism. The party demands migrant-worker quotas, border vigilance, Croatian-language primacy and the rollback of Istrian regionalism.
Voters asking "who is Homeland Movement?" or "what does Homeland Movement stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, national conservatism, right-wing populism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 2.2% and where further recovery must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 2.2% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Promocija plus, Ipsos — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Croatia include Promocija Plus, Ipsos Puls, 2x1 Komunikacije, Hendal, Cro Demoskop — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promocija plus | 1.8% | — | -1.0% | 11 Oct 2026 |
| Ipsos | 2.8% | — | +1.2% | 22 Sep 2026 |
| Promocija plus | 1.6% | — | -0.8% | 6 Sep 2026 |
| Ipsos | 2.4% | — | -0.2% | 26 Aug 2026 |
| Ipsos | 2.6% | — | 0.0% | 31 Jul 2026 |
Party profile
Homeland Movement: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on Homeland Movement of Croatia — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
The Homeland Movement (Domovinski pokret, DP) was founded in February 2020 by Miroslav Skoro, the folk singer whose 2019 presidential third place (24 percent) revealed a market for patriotic populism. Entering parliament in July 2020 with 10.9 percent and 16 seats, the party spent the term in opposition theatrics while Skoro himself drifted away, leaving Ivan Penava — the Vukovar mayor — to rebuild. The April 2024 election delivered 9.6 percent and 14 seats, making DP the kingmaker: after tortuous talks it joined Andrej Plenkovic and the HDZ government with demography, agriculture and energy portfolios, extracting concessions on migrant workers and language. Governing strained purists as compromises accumulated, but municipal implantation in Slavonia and Dalmatian hinterlands deepened. Through 2025-26 DP polled near 8 percent, squeezed between HDZ absorption and Most and the sovereignist competition, yet institutionally secure in ministries — the eternal junior partner of the Croatian right. Penava and the 2025 Slavonian county victories gave the movement its first genuine territorial base beyond Vukovar. Ministers used the agriculture portfolio to channel subsidies toward family farms, rewarding the core while negotiating Brussels and the green conditionality from inside government.
Ideology
DP ideology is Slavonian sovereignism: demographic revival (baby bonuses, housing for young families), agricultural protection against imports and green rules, energy sovereignty and the defence of the Homeland War dignity against revisionism. The party demands migrant-worker quotas, border vigilance, Croatian-language primacy and the rollback of Istrian regionalism. Economically it mixes pension populism with SME romanticism. EU positions are sovereigntist within membership: funds yes, migrant quotas no. Socially it is Catholic-traditionalist with veterans and associations as moral core. Scholars place DP as national-conservative populist, milder than its Skoro-era beginnings, institutionalised by office. The 2026 programme added veteran pensions and war-victim compensation to the demographic core, cementing the Homeland War constituency. On migration it accepted EU solidarity quotas in practice while denouncing them in rhetoric, the classic junior-partner straddle.
Voter demographics
DP voters are Slavonian villagers, Vukovar-Srijem smallholders, Dalmatian-hinterland families and Zagreb-periphery commuters: farmers, veterans, craftsmen and young parents. The party overperforms in war-affected east, among vocational voters and Catholic families, and underperforms in Zagreb, Istria, Rijeka and among graduates. Former HSP and HDZ protest voters supply the base; diaspora returnees sympathise. Women support through family-benefit appeals. Turnout is community-driven: parish, veterans and associations mobilise reliably in a low-turnout polity. Young Catholic families attracted by baby bonuses represent the party and the main growth segment, offsetting losses among purists angered by HDZ compromises. Diaspora Croats voting in the separate constituency remain solidly sympathetic.
FAQ
Homeland Movement polls: frequently asked questions
What is Homeland Movement polling at in 2026?
Homeland Movement polls 2.2% in Croatia as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is Homeland Movement rising or falling in the polls?
Homeland Movement is falling: -1.0 points this quarter in Croatia, with the poll average at 2.2%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the Homeland Movement polling average calculated?
The 2.2% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Croatia — including the latest from Promocija plus. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for Homeland Movement?
The next Parliamentary in Croatia is expected around 2028 (2028-04-30). Homeland Movement heads into that race averaging 2.2% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does Homeland Movement compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
Homeland Movement ranks #56 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (2.2%) — 21.7 points below the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do rejting stranaka polls say about Homeland Movement (Domovinski pokret)?
In Croatia, "rejting stranaka" searches land on the same verified average: Homeland Movement (DP) polls 2.2% as of October 2026 ahead of the Hrvatski sabor race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Promocija Plus / Ipsos Puls / 2x1 Komunikacije polls say about DP?
Accredited houses tracked for Croatia include Promocija Plus, Ipsos Puls, 2x1 Komunikacije. The 2.2% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Promocija Plus release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
