ELAM polls 2026: 13.6% average & trends in Cyprus

Key issues & ideology

ELAM ideology is Greek-Cypriot ultranationalism: Enosis nostalgia, rejection of bizonal federation, hardline on Turkey, closed camps for irregular migrants and deportations. The party demands National Guard strengthening, the defence of Orthodox family values, and resistance to what it calls the Islamisation of the occupied north spilling southward.

Voters asking "who is ELAM?" or "what does ELAM stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, national conservatism, social conservatism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 13.6% and where further growth must come from.

Pollster breakdown: how the 13.6% average is built

The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Stratego-IMR for Kathimerini, Explorer for Philenews, Pulse for Omega, Noverna for Politis, RAI Consultants for Alpha Cyprus — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Cyprus include Symmetron, IMR, Pulse Market, CYMAR, CMR — see Methodology for inclusion rules.

Ideology

ELAM ideology is Greek-Cypriot ultranationalism: Enosis nostalgia, rejection of bizonal federation, hardline on Turkey, closed camps for irregular migrants and deportations. The party demands National Guard strengthening, the defence of Orthodox family values, and resistance to what it calls the Islamisation of the occupied north spilling southward. Economically it mixes social-nationalist protection for workers and pensioners with anti-austerity memory of the 2013 haircut. EU positions are sceptical but not exitist: use membership against Turkey, reject migrant redistribution. The Golden Dawn lineage — denied but documented in early years — draws anti-fascist monitoring; the party sues journalists who call it neo-Nazi while retaining symbolism scholars read as continuity. Researchers classify it as the Cypriot far right: ethnonationalist, nativist and protest-driven. On the economy it favours Cypriot hiring preferences in tourism and construction, the island and the largest employers of third-country labour.

Voter demographics

ELAM voters are young men, national-guard veterans, Limassol and Paphos working-class districts, and displaced-persons families holding 1974 title deeds. The party overperforms among under-35 males, vocational graduates and church-adjacent conservatives, and underperforms among AKEL unionists, Turkish Cypriots, academics and Nicosia professionals. Disillusioned DISY voters supply the right flank; former abstainers the mass. Women lag men clearly. Education predicts opposition: university graduates vote DISY, AKEL or Volt; practical schooling votes ELAM. Refugee-descended families split between DISY loyalty and ELAM anger. Turnout is passion-driven — settlement headlines and migrant-camp incidents mobilise efficiently. Abstentionist nationalists returning to the rolls have supplied most of its recent growth, a pool that expands whenever federation talks restart.