Popular Force (FP) polls 2026: 14.1% average & trends in Peru
Peru · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Ipsos Peru · October 2026 · Rank #42 worldwide
Party Leader
Keiko Fujimori
Current Seats
21 / 130
Last Election
13.4% · 2021
Next Election
2026
More context: Peru polling tracker
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
6.3%
6M average
8.6%
6M high
16.0%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 14.1% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: Ipsos Peru, CPI, Datum Internacional
Ipsos Peru
16.0%
1,205
+6.9%
6 Apr 2026
Ipsos Peru
15.0%
1,205
+3.2%
3–4 Apr 2026
CPI
11.8%
2,000
-2.7%
3–4 Apr 2026
Datum Internacional
14.5%
3,000
+1.5%
1–4 Apr 2026
Ipsos Peru
13.0%
1,217
0.0%
1–2 Apr 2026
Headline Ø 14.1% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from Ipsos Peru, CPI, Datum Internacional, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
Popular Force (FP) — Fuerza Popular polling analysis & live summary — Peru
October 2026 update: Popular Force (FP) — Fuerza Popular polls 14.1% in Peru (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), rising +6.9 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Ipsos Peru, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts Popular Force at #42 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: General on 2026-04-13 (held). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
Popular Force polls 14.1% in Peru (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), up 6.9 points this quarter.
↗ Surging momentum
Popular Force polls 14.1% in Peru (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), gaining +6.9 points over the last quarter with a +7.1 point move across the verified window. That places Popular Force #42 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
If Popular Force can capitalize on current trends, consecutive gains tend to compound through media coverage, donor confidence and bandwagon polling effects. Watch whether the next round of releases confirms the average above 14.1% — a hold above that line would signal consolidation rather than a single-poll outlier, while a second straight quarterly gain would put rivals under severe strategic pressure.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Peru
Quarterly Δ
+6.9 pts
Polling analysis
Popular Force (FP) polls at 14.1% in Peru: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
Popular Force is currently averaging 14.1% in national polling, reflecting a 6.9% shift upward over the last quarter. Popular Force (locally listed as Fuerza Popular) currently sits at 14.1% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Ipsos Peru, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 14.1% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. If the next releases confirm Popular Force above 14.1%, the quarter counts as consolidation rather than noise. See the full Peru polling tracker for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
Fujimorismo is authoritarian-nostalgic populism: the 1990s remembered as pacification (Shining Path defeat) and growth (Fujishock stabilisation), the crimes and sterilisaitons recast as excesses or lies. FP demands mano-dura security against extortion gangs, Venezuelan-migrant controls, mining-investment facilitation and the defence of the 1993 constitution against constituent-assembly projects.
Voters asking "who is Popular Force?" or "what does Popular Force stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, social conservatism, right-wing populism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 14.1% and where further growth must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 14.1% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Ipsos Peru, CPI, Datum Internacional — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Peru include Ipsos Peru, Datum, IEP, CPI, Sensor — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos Peru | 16.0% | 1,205 | +6.9% | 6 Apr 2026 |
| Ipsos Peru | 15.0% | 1,205 | +3.2% | 3–4 Apr 2026 |
| CPI | 11.8% | 2,000 | -2.7% | 3–4 Apr 2026 |
| Datum Internacional | 14.5% | 3,000 | +1.5% | 1–4 Apr 2026 |
| Ipsos Peru | 13.0% | 1,217 | 0.0% | 1–2 Apr 2026 |
Party profile
Popular Force: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on Popular Force of Peru — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
Popular Force (Fuerza Popular, FP) was founded in 2010 by Keiko Fujimori as Fuerza 2011, the electoral vehicle of Fujimorismo after her father Alberto and the 2009 human-rights conviction. Keiko lost three consecutive run-offs — 2011 to Humala, 2016 to Kuczynski by 0.2 points, 2021 to Castillo amid fraud claims that polarised the country — yet built Peru and the largest party machine: 73 of 130 seats in 2016, collapsing to 24 in the fragmented 2021 Congress. From opposition FP propped the Boluarte presidency after Castillo and the 2022 removal, trading stability for institutional spoils in what critics call the pactito — shared control of the Constitutional Tribunal, Ombudsman and electoral bodies. Keiko and the Odebrecht money-laundering prosecution dragged through the courts without final conviction, feeding both persecution narratives and anti-corruption disgust. Through 2025-26, with a dozen-plus presidential candidacies fragmenting the 2026 race, FP polled in high single digits — diminished, disciplined and still the right and the only true national organisation. Keiko and the widely expected fourth presidential bid in 2026 will test whether the Fujimori brand still commands a run-off berth in a field crowded with outsiders.
Ideology
Fujimorismo is authoritarian-nostalgic populism: the 1990s remembered as pacification (Shining Path defeat) and growth (Fujishock stabilisation), the crimes and sterilisaitons recast as excesses or lies. FP demands mano-dura security against extortion gangs, Venezuelan-migrant controls, mining-investment facilitation and the defence of the 1993 constitution against constituent-assembly projects. Economically it is neoliberal with clientelist practice: AFP pension defence, informal-sector tolerance, populist bonuses. Socially conservative on abortion, gender and family with evangelical alliances. Foreign policy is Washington-friendly and Lima-establishment. Scholars describe a personalist right-wing machine sustained by patronage, media (Expreso, Willax) and the memory of order — democratic in form, illiberal in reflexes. On decentralisation it defends regional mining royalties and Lima and the fiscal prerogatives, aligning with business elites against constituent-assembly economics.
Voter demographics
FP voters are Lima and the popular north and east, provincial capitals and the Amazon piedmont: market vendors, combi drivers, small miners, evangelical mothers and Fujimori-era beneficiaries. The party wins the urban informal poor and the anti-left middle class, loses the southern Andes (Puno, Cusco, Arequipa), teachers, students and human-rights-adjacent professionals. Women backed Keiko at higher rates than men in 2021. Education effects are inverted-U: primary and secondary support, postgraduate opposition. Fujimori-loyal households transmit votes generationally. Turnout is machine-driven: ollas comunes, transport and local brokers deliver in a fragmented field where organisation beats enthusiasm. Venezuelan migrants with voting rights lean unexpectedly sympathetic, crediting Fujimorismo and the hard line against the left they fled.
FAQ
Popular Force polls: frequently asked questions
What is Popular Force polling at in 2026?
Popular Force polls 14.1% in Peru as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is Popular Force rising or falling in the polls?
Popular Force is rising: ++6.9 points this quarter in Peru, with the poll average at 14.1%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the Popular Force polling average calculated?
The 14.1% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Peru — including the latest from Ipsos Peru. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for Popular Force?
The next General in Peru is expected around 2026 (2026-04-13). Popular Force heads into that race averaging 14.1% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does Popular Force compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
Popular Force ranks #42 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (14.1%) — 9.8 points below the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do encuestas polls say about Popular Force (Fuerza Popular)?
In Peru, "encuestas" searches land on the same verified average: Popular Force (FP) polls 14.1% as of October 2026 ahead of the Congreso race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Ipsos Peru / Datum / IEP polls say about FP?
Accredited houses tracked for Peru include Ipsos Peru, Datum, IEP. The 14.1% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Ipsos Peru release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
