Progress Party (FrP) polls 2026: 31.0% average & trends in Norway
Norway · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Verian · October 2026 · Rank #16 worldwide
Party Leader
Sylvi Listhaug
Current Seats
27 / 169
Last Election
23.5% · 2025
Next Election
2029
More context: Norway polling tracker · election outlook
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
18.8%
6M average
22.2%
6M high
29.2%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 31.0% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: Verian, Norstat, InFact, Norfakta, Opinion
Verian
29.2%
985
+5.3%
2–8 Sep
Norstat
30.2%
1,001
-1.2%
31 Aug – 5 Sep
InFact
31.4%
—
-2.0%
2 Sep
Norfakta
33.4%
1,003
+2.4%
1–2 Sep
Opinion
31.0%
1,000
0.0%
24–29 Aug
Headline Ø 31.0% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from Verian, Norstat, InFact, Norfakta, Opinion, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
Progress Party (FrP) — Fremskrittspartiet polling analysis & live summary — Norway
October 2026 update: Progress Party (FrP) — Fremskrittspartiet polls 31.0% in Norway (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), rising +5.3 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Verian, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts Progress Party at #16 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Parliamentary on 2029-09-17 (in 1067 days). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
Progress Party polls 31.0% in Norway (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), up 5.3 points this quarter.
↗ Surging momentum
Progress Party polls 31.0% in Norway (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), gaining +5.3 points over the last quarter with a +11.6 point move across the verified window. That places Progress Party #16 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
If Progress Party can capitalize on current trends, consecutive gains tend to compound through media coverage, donor confidence and bandwagon polling effects. Watch whether the next round of releases confirms the average above 31.0% — a hold above that line would signal consolidation rather than a single-poll outlier, while a second straight quarterly gain would put rivals under severe strategic pressure.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Norway
Quarterly Δ
+5.3 pts
Polling analysis
Progress Party (FrP) polls at 31.0% in Norway: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
Progress Party is currently averaging 31.0% in national polling, reflecting a 5.3% shift upward over the last quarter. Progress Party (locally listed as Fremskrittspartiet) currently sits at 31.0% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Verian, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 31.0% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. If the next releases confirm Progress Party above 31.0%, the quarter counts as consolidation rather than noise. See the full Norway polling tracker and the upcoming election outlook for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
FrP ideology is libertarian-populist with welfare-chauvinist practice: slash taxes, tolls and bureaucracy, drill for oil and gas, build roads — while protecting pensions, hospitals and elderly care for Norwegians. Immigration is the signature: the strictest asylum regime in the Nordics, deportations, benefit restrictions and the defence of Norwegian values against Islamisation.
Voters asking "who is Progress Party?" or "what does Progress Party stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, law and order, right-wing populism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 31.0% and where further growth must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 31.0% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Verian, Norstat, InFact, Norfakta, Opinion — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Norway include Norstat, Opinion, Verian, Ipsos MMI, Respons Analyse — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verian | 29.2% | 985 | +5.3% | 2–8 Sep |
| Norstat | 30.2% | 1,001 | -1.2% | 31 Aug – 5 Sep |
| InFact | 31.4% | — | -2.0% | 2 Sep |
| Norfakta | 33.4% | 1,003 | +2.4% | 1–2 Sep |
| Opinion | 31.0% | 1,000 | 0.0% | 24–29 Aug |
Party profile
Progress Party: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on Progress Party of Norway — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
The Progress Party (Fremskrittspartiet, FrP) was founded in 1973 by Anders Lange as a tax-protest movement, entering parliament on fury at bureaucracy and high taxes. Under Carl I. Hagen (1978-2006) it became Norway and the permanent populist pole, oscillating around 15 percent. Siv Jensen modernised the image and led the party into government for the first time in 2013 with the Conservatives, holding finance and oil portfolios until exiting in 2020 over an ISIS-widow repatriation dispute. Sylvi Listhaug, the hard-talking former immigration minister famous for a Facebook post accusing Labour of prizing terrorists and rights over security, took over in 2021 and rebuilt through opposition purity. The 2025 election delivered a triumph: 23.5 percent and second place, the best result in party history, on cost-of-living, energy prices and immigration fatigue. Listhaug then faced the paradox of success — indispensable to any right-wing government yet distrusted by centrist kingmakers — as 2026 coalition arithmetic turned on her demands. Listhaug and the 2026 budget negotiations, where FrP votes proved decisive for tax relief, demonstrated the leverage of a disciplined second force.
Ideology
FrP ideology is libertarian-populist with welfare-chauvinist practice: slash taxes, tolls and bureaucracy, drill for oil and gas, build roads — while protecting pensions, hospitals and elderly care for Norwegians. Immigration is the signature: the strictest asylum regime in the Nordics, deportations, benefit restrictions and the defence of Norwegian values against Islamisation. The party is the most Israel-friendly and America-friendly force in Norwegian politics, sceptical of climate taxes, wind-turbine landscapes and electric-car mandates it once tolerated. EU membership is opposed; EEA membership is accepted grumblingly. Law-and-order positions demand more police and tougher sentencing. Socially it is traditionalist but not clerical. Researchers file FrP as the moderate wing of the populist radical right — coalitionable, disciplined and economically liberal in a social-democratic landscape. On transport it promises toll-ring abolition and petrol-tax freezes, pocketbook pledges that anchor its working-class appeal.
Voter demographics
FrP voters are young men, skilled workers, drivers, construction crews and coastal fishermen: the vocational Norway that pays tolls and fuel taxes. The party dominates among men under 40 and among voters with upper-secondary practical education, and overperforms in Rogaland, Agder and the Oslo fjord exurbs. Women, teachers, nurses and public-sector professionals lean away; Oslo west and university towns resist. The party wins private-sector employees and the self-employed, loses unionised public workers. Anti-toll local lists feed it municipally. Pensioners split between FrP and the Conservatives. Turnout is decent but not exceptional — FrP support tracks petrol prices and asylum headlines with unusual sensitivity. Offshore oil workers on rotation schedules form a distinctive FrP bloc, combining high incomes with deep distrust of Oslo regulation.
FAQ
Progress Party polls: frequently asked questions
What is Progress Party polling at in 2026?
Progress Party polls 31.0% in Norway as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is Progress Party rising or falling in the polls?
Progress Party is rising: ++5.3 points this quarter in Norway, with the poll average at 31.0%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the Progress Party polling average calculated?
The 31.0% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Norway — including the latest from Verian. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for Progress Party?
The next Parliamentary in Norway is expected around 2029 (2029-09-17). Progress Party heads into that race averaging 31.0% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does Progress Party compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
Progress Party ranks #16 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (31.0%) — 7.1 points above the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do meningsmåling polls say about Progress Party (Fremskrittspartiet)?
In Norway, "meningsmåling" searches land on the same verified average: Progress Party (FrP) polls 31.0% as of October 2026 ahead of the Storting race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Norstat / Opinion / Verian polls say about FrP?
Accredited houses tracked for Norway include Norstat, Opinion, Verian. The 31.0% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Norstat release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
