Gerindra Party polls 2026: 23.7% average & trends in Indonesia
Indonesia · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Tempo Data Science · October 2026 · Rank #27 worldwide
Party Leader
Prabowo Subianto
Current Seats
86 / 580
Last Election
13.2% · 2024
Next Election
2029
More context: Indonesia polling tracker · election outlook
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
15.0%
6M average
15.0%
6M high
15.0%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 23.7% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: Tempo Data Science, Median, Indonesia Political Opinion, SMRC
Tempo Data Science
15.0%
1,260
0.0%
31 July–11 August 2026
Median
32.4%
1,212
+9.0%
21 July–2 August 2026
Indonesia Political Opinion
23.4%
1,200
+8.9%
27 July–3 August 2026
SMRC
14.5%
749
-18.8%
5–19 July 2026
SMRC
33.3%
—
0.0%
February–March 2026
Headline Ø 23.7% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from Tempo Data Science, Median, Indonesia Political Opinion, SMRC, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
Gerindra Party — Partai Gerakan Indonesia Raya polling analysis & live summary — Indonesia
October 2026 update: Gerindra Party — Partai Gerakan Indonesia Raya polls 23.7% in Indonesia (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), steady +0.0 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Tempo Data Science, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts Gerindra Party at #27 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: General on 2029-02-14 (in 852 days). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
Gerindra Party polls 23.7% in Indonesia (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), essentially unchanged this quarter.
→ Holding steady
Gerindra Party polls 23.7% in Indonesia (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), essentially unchanged this quarter with a +8.7 point drift across the verified window. Stability near this level suggests a solidified voter base but limited near-term upside. That places Gerindra Party #27 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
For a party in this position, the task is to convert a plateau into a platform: a breakout in either direction in the next round of surveys would be the first meaningful signal after a flat quarter. Until then, organisational depth and turnout efficiency matter more than headlines.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Indonesia
Quarterly Δ
+0.0 pts
Polling analysis
Gerindra Party polls at 23.7% in Indonesia: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
Gerindra Party is currently averaging 23.7% in national polling, essentially unchanged over the last quarter. Gerindra Party (locally listed as Partai Gerakan Indonesia Raya) currently sits at 23.7% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Tempo Data Science, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 23.7% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. A breakout in either direction in the next releases would be the first meaningful signal after a flat quarter. See the full Indonesia polling tracker and the upcoming election outlook for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
A summary of this party program and ideological placement is being prepared. It will cover economic positions, cultural attitudes and institutional outlook in neutral academic language.
Voters asking "who is Gerindra Party?" or "what does Gerindra Party stand for?" find the party classified here as national conservatism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 23.7% and where further growth must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 23.7% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Tempo Data Science, Median, Indonesia Political Opinion, SMRC — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Indonesia include Indikator, SMRC, Litbang Kompas, LSI Denny JA, Median, Charta Politika — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tempo Data Science | 15.0% | 1,260 | 0.0% | 31 July–11 August 2026 |
| Median | 32.4% | 1,212 | +9.0% | 21 July–2 August 2026 |
| Indonesia Political Opinion | 23.4% | 1,200 | +8.9% | 27 July–3 August 2026 |
| SMRC | 14.5% | 749 | -18.8% | 5–19 July 2026 |
| SMRC | 33.3% | — | 0.0% | February–March 2026 |
Party profile
Gerindra Party: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on Gerindra Party of Indonesia — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
This party profile is being expanded by our editorial team. Founding dates, leadership transitions and electoral milestones will appear here once verified against reputable reference sources.
Ideology
A summary of this party program and ideological placement is being prepared. It will cover economic positions, cultural attitudes and institutional outlook in neutral academic language.
Voter demographics
A demographic breakdown of this party electorate is being compiled from published exit polls and survey research. Age, education, geography and turnout patterns will be summarised here.
FAQ
Gerindra Party polls: frequently asked questions
What is Gerindra Party polling at in 2026?
Gerindra Party polls 23.7% in Indonesia as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is Gerindra Party rising or falling in the polls?
Gerindra Party is holding steady: ++0.0 points this quarter in Indonesia, with the poll average at 23.7%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the Gerindra Party polling average calculated?
The 23.7% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Indonesia — including the latest from Tempo Data Science. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for Gerindra Party?
The next General in Indonesia is expected around 2029 (2029-02-14). Gerindra Party heads into that race averaging 23.7% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does Gerindra Party compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
Gerindra Party ranks #27 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (23.7%) — 0.2 points below the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do survei elektabilitas polls say about Gerindra Party (Partai Gerakan Indonesia Raya)?
In Indonesia, "survei elektabilitas" searches land on the same verified average: Gerindra Party (Gerindra) polls 23.7% as of October 2026 ahead of the DPR race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Indikator / SMRC / Litbang Kompas polls say about Gerindra?
Accredited houses tracked for Indonesia include Indikator, SMRC, Litbang Kompas. The 23.7% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Indikator release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
