Likud polls 2026: 22.6% average & trends in Israel

Key issues & ideology

Likud ideology is Revisionist Zionism tempered by pragmatism: Eretz Israel as historical right, security through strength, settlements as facts, and deep suspicion of Palestinian statehood under current conditions. Begin and the peacemaking and Netanyahu and the Abraham Accords show the dovish exceptions; the rule is hawkish.

Voters asking "who is Likud?" or "what does Likud stand for?" find the party classified here as national conservatism, right-wing populism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 22.6% and where further recovery must come from.

Pollster breakdown: how the 22.6% average is built

The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (LRI+P4A, SF+ND, Kantar, Yossi Tatika, Maagar Mochot — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Israel include Lazar, Midgam, Channel 12, Panels Politics, Maagar Mochot, Smith — see Methodology for inclusion rules.

Ideology

Likud ideology is Revisionist Zionism tempered by pragmatism: Eretz Israel as historical right, security through strength, settlements as facts, and deep suspicion of Palestinian statehood under current conditions. Begin and the peacemaking and Netanyahu and the Abraham Accords show the dovish exceptions; the rule is hawkish. Economically the party moved from statist origins to Netanyahu and the market liberalisation — privatisation, tech boom, low corporate taxes — while retaining working-class Mizrahi loyalty through patronage and identity. It defends the nation-state law, Jewish character of public space and expanded Haredi partnership despite secular tensions. Judicial reform — curbing Supreme Court review — became the defining institutional battle, framed as restoring elected rule. Foreign policy is alliance-maximalist with Washington plus Abraham-Accords outreach to Arab states. Analysts place Likud as national-conservative right, with a populist-authoritarian accent under Netanyahu and the permanent campaign.

Voter demographics

Likud voters are the Mizrahi working and lower-middle class of development towns, Jerusalem and the periphery, plus nationalist suburbs and settlements: market traders, taxi drivers, soldiers, small contractors. Sephardi and Mizrahi Jews back Likud at high rates against the Ashkenazi left; Russian-speaking immigrants split between Likud and Lieberman. The party wins men and women evenly, overperforms among traditional-religious voters and underperforms among secular Tel Aviv professionals, kibbutzniks and Arab citizens. Age effects are modest: Likud spans generations through family transmission. Haredim vote their own parties but sustain Likud coalitions. Diaspora Jews watch anxiously as Likud and the judicial and religious policies strain liberal attachments. Turnout is existential — right-wing voters mobilise on fear of a left-Arab government — giving Likud unmatched get-out-the-vote efficiency.