
La Libertad Avanza (LLA) polls 2026: 33.8% average & trends in Argentina
Argentina · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Explanans Consultora · October 2026 · Rank #14 worldwide
Party Leader
Javier Milei
Current Seats
38 / 257
Last Election
29.9% · 2023
Next Election
2027
More context: Argentina polling tracker · election outlook
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
28.3%
6M average
37.1%
6M high
44.5%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 33.8% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: Explanans Consultora, Consultora Tendencias, RDT Consultores, Proyección Consultores, CB Global Data
Explanans Consultora
38.5%
7,025
+10.5%
2–9 Sep 2026
Consultora Tendencias
32.4%
4,958
+3.2%
24–29 Aug 2026
RDT Consultores
29.2%
1,286
-7.1%
21–24 Aug 2026
Proyección Consultores
36.3%
1,548
+3.9%
1–12 Aug 2026
CB Global Data
32.4%
1,252
0.0%
30–31 Jul 2026
Headline Ø 33.8% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from Explanans Consultora, Consultora Tendencias, RDT Consultores, Proyección Consultores, CB Global Data, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
La Libertad Avanza (LLA) polling analysis & live summary — Argentina
October 2026 update: La Libertad Avanza (LLA) polls 33.8% in Argentina (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), rising +10.5 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Explanans Consultora, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts La Libertad Avanza at #14 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Presidential on 2027-10-24 (in 373 days). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
La Libertad Avanza polls 33.8% in Argentina (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), up 10.5 points this quarter.
↗ Surging momentum
La Libertad Avanza polls 33.8% in Argentina (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), gaining +10.5 points over the last quarter with a -10.7 point move across the verified window. That places La Libertad Avanza #14 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
If La Libertad Avanza can capitalize on current trends, consecutive gains tend to compound through media coverage, donor confidence and bandwagon polling effects. Watch whether the next round of releases confirms the average above 33.8% — a hold above that line would signal consolidation rather than a single-poll outlier, while a second straight quarterly gain would put rivals under severe strategic pressure.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Argentina
Quarterly Δ
+10.5 pts
Polling analysis
La Libertad Avanza (LLA) polls at 33.8% in Argentina: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
La Libertad Avanza is currently averaging 33.8% in national polling, reflecting a 10.5% shift upward over the last quarter. La Libertad Avanza currently sits at 33.8% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Explanans Consultora, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 33.8% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. If the next releases confirm La Libertad Avanza above 33.8%, the quarter counts as consolidation rather than noise. See the full Argentina polling tracker and the upcoming election outlook for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
Mileismo fuses anarcho-capitalist rhetoric with cultural conservatism and security hawkishness. Economically it demands dollarisation (partly deferred), closing the central bank, deep spending cuts, privatisation of state firms, labour flexibilisation and unilateral trade opening — the most radical free-market programme attempted in a major economy in decades.
Voters asking "who is La Libertad Avanza?" or "what does La Libertad Avanza stand for?" find the party classified here as economic liberalism, social conservatism, right-wing populism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 33.8% and where further growth must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 33.8% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Explanans Consultora, Consultora Tendencias, RDT Consultores, Proyección Consultores, CB Global Data — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Argentina include Opinaia, Analogías, CELAG, Management & Fit, Poliarquía, Synopsis — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explanans Consultora | 38.5% | 7,025 | +10.5% | 2–9 Sep 2026 |
| Consultora Tendencias | 32.4% | 4,958 | +3.2% | 24–29 Aug 2026 |
| RDT Consultores | 29.2% | 1,286 | -7.1% | 21–24 Aug 2026 |
| Proyección Consultores | 36.3% | 1,548 | +3.9% | 1–12 Aug 2026 |
| CB Global Data | 32.4% | 1,252 | 0.0% | 30–31 Jul 2026 |
Party profile
La Libertad Avanza: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on La Libertad Avanza of Argentina — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
La Libertad Avanza (Freedom Advances, LLA) is the electoral coalition built around Javier Milei, the libertarian economist turned television polemicist who entered Congress in 2021 denouncing the political caste. Founded as a vehicle for his 2023 presidential run, it united libertarians, market liberals and social conservatives behind chainsaw symbolism — motosierra cuts to the state. Milei stunned the establishment by winning the August 2023 primaries, then lost the first round to Economy Minister Sergio Massa before triumphing in the November run-off with 55.7 percent as voters punished 140-percent inflation and chronic decline. Lacking governors and with tiny congressional minorities (38 of 257 deputies), the government ruled by decree and omnibus bills, achieving a fiscal surplus, collapsing inflation and a fragile disinflation while poverty initially spiked. The 2025 midterms consolidated Milei and the project: LLA won nationally with about 41 percent, absorbing Mauricio Macri and the PRO and reshaping the right. Governing without majorities through 2026, the movement oscillates between market triumph and street protest.
Ideology
Mileismo fuses anarcho-capitalist rhetoric with cultural conservatism and security hawkishness. Economically it demands dollarisation (partly deferred), closing the central bank, deep spending cuts, privatisation of state firms, labour flexibilisation and unilateral trade opening — the most radical free-market programme attempted in a major economy in decades. Socially Milei opposes abortion, champions gun rights and attacks feminism, gender policy and the human-rights establishment inherited from the dictatorship trials era. On security his minister Patricia Bullrich pursues Bukele-style crackdowns, lower age of imputability and the militarisation of Rosario against narco-violence. Foreign policy realigned Argentina toward the United States and Israel, with Milei courting Trump, Musk and the global right while insulting leftist regional peers. Critics call it authoritarian-adjacent for its attacks on press and Congress; admirers call it the only honest accounting after decades of Peronist profligacy.
Voter demographics
LLA and the base is young, male and informal: men under 35, gig workers, street vendors, students and the precarious middle class that experiences inflation as theft. The 2023 breakthrough ran through Cordoba, Mendoza and the Buenos Aires periphery, plus Milei and the native Cordoba heartland. The movement overperforms among the self-employed, crypto users and social-media natives, and underperforms among unionised workers, public employees, pensioners dependent on the state and the Peronist-organised poor of the conurbano. Women supported Milei at lower rates than men amid his anti-feminist provocations, though economic desperation narrowed the gap. Upper-middle Palermo libertarians supply cadres; popular neighbourhoods supply votes. Turnout dynamics favour LLA when anger at the caste peaks and hurt it when its own austerity bites its voters.
FAQ
La Libertad Avanza polls: frequently asked questions
What is La Libertad Avanza polling at in 2026?
La Libertad Avanza polls 33.8% in Argentina as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is La Libertad Avanza rising or falling in the polls?
La Libertad Avanza is rising: ++10.5 points this quarter in Argentina, with the poll average at 33.8%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the La Libertad Avanza polling average calculated?
The 33.8% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Argentina — including the latest from Explanans Consultora. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for La Libertad Avanza?
The next Presidential in Argentina is expected around 2027 (2027-10-24). La Libertad Avanza heads into that race averaging 33.8% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does La Libertad Avanza compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
La Libertad Avanza ranks #14 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (33.8%) — 9.9 points above the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do encuestas electorales polls say about La Libertad Avanza?
In Argentina, "encuestas electorales" searches land on the same verified average: La Libertad Avanza (LLA) polls 33.8% as of October 2026 ahead of the Cámara de Diputados race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Opinaia / Analogías / CELAG polls say about LLA?
Accredited houses tracked for Argentina include Opinaia, Analogías, CELAG. The 33.8% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Opinaia release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.






