National Alliance polls 2026: 8.8% average & trends in Latvia
Latvia · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · SKDS · October 2026 · Rank #48 worldwide
Party Leader
Ilze Indriksone
Current Seats
13 / 100
Last Election
9.3% · 2022
Next Election
2026
More context: Latvia polling tracker
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
7.7%
6M average
8.9%
6M high
10.2%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 8.8% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: SKDS, Latvijas Fakti
SKDS
8.7%
6,500
-1.2%
3 October 2026
SKDS
8.7%
2,035
-0.2%
4 – 16 September 2026
Latvijas Fakti
8.9%
1,018
-2.1%
September 2026
Latvijas Fakti
11.0%
1,058
+4.3%
21 – 31 August 2026
SKDS
6.7%
1,205
0.0%
13 – 19 August 2026
Headline Ø 8.8% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from SKDS, Latvijas Fakti, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
National Alliance — Nacionālā apvienība polling analysis & live summary — Latvia
October 2026 update: National Alliance — Nacionālā apvienība polls 8.8% in Latvia (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), cooling -1.2 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from SKDS, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts National Alliance at #48 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Parliamentary on 2026-10-03 (held). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
National Alliance polls 8.8% in Latvia (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), down 1.2 points this quarter.
↘ Facing headwinds
National Alliance has dropped by 1.2 points to a 8.8% average in Latvia (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), with a +1.9 point shift across the verified window. The pullback does not erase its structural position — but it warrants attention. That places National Alliance #48 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
The key question is whether this is consolidation or the start of a slide: a second consecutive quarterly decline would suggest the 1.2-point drop is a trend rather than noise. The next round of releases is the decisive test — stabilisation near 8.8% would indicate a floor, while further erosion would force a rethink of strategy, messaging and voter targeting.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Latvia
Quarterly Δ
-1.2 pts
Polling analysis
National Alliance polls at 8.8% in Latvia: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
National Alliance is currently averaging 8.8% in national polling, reflecting a 1.2% shift downward over the last quarter. National Alliance (locally listed as Nacionālā apvienība) currently sits at 8.8% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: SKDS, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 8.8% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. Stabilisation near 8.8% in the next releases would mark a floor; further erosion would confirm a slide. See the full Latvia polling tracker for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
National Alliance ideology is Latvian ethnonationalism in a suit: one nation, one language, one school system, completed decolonisation from Soviet legacies. It demands citizenship exams rigour, the closure of Russian-language schooling, restrictions on Kremlin-linked media and the honouring of legionnaire memory.
Voters asking "who is National Alliance?" or "what does National Alliance stand for?" find the party classified here as national conservatism, economic liberalism, atlanticism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 8.8% and where further recovery must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 8.8% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (SKDS, Latvijas Fakti — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Latvia include SKDS, Kantar, Latvijas Fakti, Norstat LV, GfK — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKDS | 8.7% | 6,500 | -1.2% | 3 October 2026 |
| SKDS | 8.7% | 2,035 | -0.2% | 4 – 16 September 2026 |
| Latvijas Fakti | 8.9% | 1,018 | -2.1% | September 2026 |
| Latvijas Fakti | 11.0% | 1,058 | +4.3% | 21 – 31 August 2026 |
| SKDS | 6.7% | 1,205 | 0.0% | 13 – 19 August 2026 |
Party profile
National Alliance: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on National Alliance of Latvia — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
The National Alliance (Nacionala apvieniba, NA) was formed in 2010-11 by merging For Fatherland and Freedom/LNNK with the youth-movement All for Latvia!, uniting the post-independence right. Entering government in 2011, it has been a near-permanent coalition partner ever since — the respectable nationalists of Latvian politics. Ministers for culture, education and justice pushed language laws, the 2019 school-language reform mandating Latvian-only secondary education, and the de-Sovietisation of monuments accelerated after the Ukraine invasion, including the 2022 removal of the Riga Victory obelisk. Electoral scores oscillated between 6 and 16 percent, settling near 9 in the 2022 election amid competition from the New Unity and the populist newcomers. Leadership passed from Gaidis Berzins and Raivis Dzintars to Raivis Zeltits generation figures. Through 2025-26 the Alliance polled in high single digits, squeezed between Kariņš and the liberals and Slesers-style populists, but institutionally entrenched in municipalities, ministries and the presidency and the patronage accumulated through long tenures at the culture ministry. The 2026 municipal elections in Riga tested whether the Alliance could hold its council bloc against the Progressives and revived populists.
Ideology
National Alliance ideology is Latvian ethnonationalism in a suit: one nation, one language, one school system, completed decolonisation from Soviet legacies. It demands citizenship exams rigour, the closure of Russian-language schooling, restrictions on Kremlin-linked media and the honouring of legionnaire memory. Family policy is traditionalist with demographic panic over emigration and birth rates. Economically the party is moderately liberal with agrarian sympathies: flat-tax nostalgia, forest-owner interests, EU-funds absorption. Foreign policy is hawkishly Atlanticist — among Europe and the most pro-Ukraine voices — pairing moral clarity on Russia with demands for permanent NATO presence. EU positions are sovereigntist but loyalist: reform from within, no exit talk. Researchers code it as conservative-nationalist right, coalitionable and institutionalised, distinct from street-level radicalism. Education remains the flagship portfolio: Latvian-only schooling, patriotic curricula and teacher-pay rises form an indivisible package.
Voter demographics
NA voters are ethnic-Latvian provincials and Riga patriots: teachers, cultural workers, officers, Vidzeme farmers and Kurzeme fishermen. The party wins Latvian-speakers overwhelmingly and ethnic Russians almost not at all — the linguistic cleavage is destiny. Older voters and families lean NA; students split with Progressives. Church Lutherans and Catholics sympathise; Riga Russians vote Harmony or abstain. Education effects are mild: secondary and tertiary both represented. Diaspora returnees and exile-descended families over-index. Turnout is dutiful: the Alliance and the electorate votes in all weathers, a stabilising asset in volatile cycles. Young families in Pieriga and the commuter ring have warmed to the party and the school-reform record, softening its traditionally grey profile.
FAQ
National Alliance polls: frequently asked questions
What is National Alliance polling at in 2026?
National Alliance polls 8.8% in Latvia as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is National Alliance rising or falling in the polls?
National Alliance is falling: -1.2 points this quarter in Latvia, with the poll average at 8.8%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the National Alliance polling average calculated?
The 8.8% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Latvia — including the latest from SKDS. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for National Alliance?
The next Parliamentary in Latvia is scheduled for 2026 (2026-10-03). National Alliance heads into that race averaging 8.8% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does National Alliance compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
National Alliance ranks #48 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (8.8%) — 15.1 points below the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do partiju reitingi polls say about National Alliance (Nacionālā apvienība)?
In Latvia, "partiju reitingi" searches land on the same verified average: National Alliance (NA) polls 8.8% as of October 2026 ahead of the Saeima race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do SKDS / Kantar / Latvijas Fakti polls say about NA?
Accredited houses tracked for Latvia include SKDS, Kantar, Latvijas Fakti. The 8.8% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single SKDS release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
