National Action Party (PAN) polls 2026: 14.7% average & trends in Mexico
Mexico · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · LaEncuesta.MX · October 2026 · Rank #41 worldwide
Party Leader
Jorge Romero Herrera
Current Seats
72 / 500
Last Election
16.8% · 2024
Next Election
2027
More context: Mexico polling tracker · election outlook
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
13.5%
6M average
15.5%
6M high
18.7%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 14.7% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: LaEncuesta.MX, Enkoll, Buendía & Márquez, Mitofsky
LaEncuesta.MX
17.1%
5,000
-1.6%
27–29 Sep
LaEncuesta.MX
18.7%
5,000
+6.7%
28–30 Aug
Enkoll
12.0%
1,205
+1.0%
25–29 Aug
Buendía & Márquez
11.0%
1,000
-3.8%
20–26 Aug
Mitofsky
14.8%
1,200
0.0%
13–16 Aug
Headline Ø 14.7% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from LaEncuesta.MX, Enkoll, Buendía & Márquez, Mitofsky, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
National Action Party (PAN) — Partido Acción Nacional polling analysis & live summary — Mexico
October 2026 update: National Action Party (PAN) — Partido Acción Nacional polls 14.7% in Mexico (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), cooling -1.6 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from LaEncuesta.MX, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts National Action Party at #41 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Midterms on 2027-06-06 (in 233 days). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
National Action Party polls 14.7% in Mexico (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), down 1.6 points this quarter.
↘ Facing headwinds
National Action Party has dropped by 1.6 points to a 14.7% average in Mexico (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), with a -1.2 point shift across the verified window. The pullback does not erase its structural position — but it warrants attention. That places National Action Party #41 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
The key question is whether this is consolidation or the start of a slide: a second consecutive quarterly decline would suggest the 1.6-point drop is a trend rather than noise. The next round of releases is the decisive test — stabilisation near 14.7% would indicate a floor, while further erosion would force a rethink of strategy, messaging and voter targeting.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Mexico
Quarterly Δ
-1.6 pts
Polling analysis
National Action Party (PAN) polls at 14.7% in Mexico: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
National Action Party is currently averaging 14.7% in national polling, reflecting a 1.6% shift downward over the last quarter. National Action Party (locally listed as Partido Acción Nacional) currently sits at 14.7% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: LaEncuesta.MX, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 14.7% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. Stabilisation near 14.7% in the next releases would mark a floor; further erosion would confirm a slide. See the full Mexico polling tracker and the upcoming election outlook for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
PAN doctrine is Christian democracy with free-market instincts: human dignity, subsidiarity, family values and the rule of law against caudillismo. It defends life from conception, religious education rights and municipal autonomy, while advocating competition, foreign investment and fiscal discipline.
Voters asking "who is National Action Party?" or "what does National Action Party stand for?" find the party classified here as economic liberalism, social conservatism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 14.7% and where further recovery must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 14.7% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (LaEncuesta.MX, Enkoll, Buendía & Márquez, Mitofsky — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Mexico include Enkoll, Mitofsky, El Financiero, Reforma, De las Heras, Buendía — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaEncuesta.MX | 17.1% | 5,000 | -1.6% | 27–29 Sep |
| LaEncuesta.MX | 18.7% | 5,000 | +6.7% | 28–30 Aug |
| Enkoll | 12.0% | 1,205 | +1.0% | 25–29 Aug |
| Buendía & Márquez | 11.0% | 1,000 | -3.8% | 20–26 Aug |
| Mitofsky | 14.8% | 1,200 | 0.0% | 13–16 Aug |
Party profile
National Action Party: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on National Action Party of Mexico — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
The National Action Party (Partido Accion Nacional, PAN) was founded in September 1939 by Manuel Gomez Morin as a Catholic, Hispanist opposition to the revolutionary PRI regime. For six decades it was the loyal opposition of businessmen, lawyers and bishops, winning municipal beachheads in the Bajio and the north. The democratic transition made it a governing party: Vicente Fox and the 2000 victory ended 71 years of PRI rule, and Felipe Calderon and the 2006-12 presidency waged the militarised drug war that still defines the party and the image. Defeat in 2012 began a long opposition: Ricardo Anaya and the 2018 loss to Lopez Obrador, Marko Cortes and the stewardship through the Morena landslide era, and the reluctant Va por Mexico alliances with the PRI it once despised. The 2024 catastrophe — Morena and the supermajority, PAN reduced to a rump — forced renewal under Jorge Romero in late 2024. Through 2025-26 the PAN polled in the low teens, debating whether to merge fully into the anti-Morena front or rebuild a distinct Christian-democratic brand. Romero and the 2026 internal wager — open primaries against backroom deals — will decide whether the PAN rebuilds as a movement or remains a franchise of notables.
Ideology
PAN doctrine is Christian democracy with free-market instincts: human dignity, subsidiarity, family values and the rule of law against caudillismo. It defends life from conception, religious education rights and municipal autonomy, while advocating competition, foreign investment and fiscal discipline. Security policy backs the armed forces and judicial reform over Obrador and the hug-not-bullets experiment, though Calderon and the militarisation legacy complicates the pitch. The party is pro-American on trade (USMCA guardianship), sceptical of statist energy policy and supportive of electoral institutions (INE) against Morena and the reforms. Internally it spans business liberals, Catholic conservatives and a shrinking social-Christian wing. Scholars place it centre-right, noting the tension between its democratic-transition mythology and its recent willingness to ally with the old PRI enemy. On energy it defends private generation and the 2013 reform against Morena and the renationalisation drive, the last redoubt of its market legacy.
Voter demographics
PAN voters are the Catholic middle: Bajio families, northern professionals, Monterrey entrepreneurs, Puebla poblanos and Merida yucatecos. The party wins Mass-goers, private-university graduates, doctors and managers, and loses the rural south, Mexico City and the poor, the young precarious and public-sector unionists. Women lean PAN slightly more than men on values; youth overwhelmingly prefer Morena or MC. Business chambers, Catholic schools and parish groups supply infrastructure. The diaspora in the United States votes PAN at higher rates than residents. Turnout is the historic weakness: PAN sympathisers abstain when victory looks impossible, compounding the Morena-era defeats. Legionaries of Christ alumni networks and Catholic university cohorts supply the party and the most disciplined activist layer.
FAQ
National Action Party polls: frequently asked questions
What is National Action Party polling at in 2026?
National Action Party polls 14.7% in Mexico as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is National Action Party rising or falling in the polls?
National Action Party is falling: -1.6 points this quarter in Mexico, with the poll average at 14.7%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the National Action Party polling average calculated?
The 14.7% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Mexico — including the latest from LaEncuesta.MX. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for National Action Party?
The next Midterms in Mexico is expected around 2027 (2027-06-06). National Action Party heads into that race averaging 14.7% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does National Action Party compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
National Action Party ranks #41 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (14.7%) — 9.2 points below the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do encuestas electorales polls say about National Action Party (Partido Acción Nacional)?
In Mexico, "encuestas electorales" searches land on the same verified average: National Action Party (PAN) polls 14.7% as of October 2026 ahead of the Cámara de Diputados race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Enkoll / Mitofsky / El Financiero polls say about PAN?
Accredited houses tracked for Mexico include Enkoll, Mitofsky, El Financiero. The 14.7% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Enkoll release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
