Republican Party of Chile (PLR) polls 2026: 20.1% average & trends in Chile
Chile · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Panel Ciudadano · October 2026 · Rank #34 worldwide
Party Leader
Arturo Squella
Current Seats
13 / 155
Last Election
11.0% · 2021
Next Election
2025
More context: Chile polling tracker
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
8.8%
6M average
12.0%
6M high
21.0%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 20.1% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: Panel Ciudadano, Activa, Atlas Intel, Black & White, Criteria
Panel Ciudadano
21.0%
—
+8.1%
30–31 Oct 2025
Activa
16.9%
—
+0.1%
28–31 Oct 2025
Atlas Intel
16.8%
—
-6.2%
25–30 Oct 2025
Black & White
23.0%
—
0.0%
28–29 Oct 2025
Criteria
23.0%
—
0.0%
27–29 Oct 2025
Headline Ø 20.1% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from Panel Ciudadano, Activa, Atlas Intel, Black & White, Criteria, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
Republican Party of Chile (PLR) polling analysis & live summary — Chile
October 2026 update: Republican Party of Chile (PLR) polls 20.1% in Chile (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), rising +8.1 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Panel Ciudadano, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts Republican Party of Chile at #34 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Presidential on 2025-11-16 (held). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
Republican Party of Chile polls 20.1% in Chile (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), up 8.1 points this quarter.
↗ Surging momentum
Republican Party of Chile polls 20.1% in Chile (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), gaining +8.1 points over the last quarter with a +11.9 point move across the verified window. That places Republican Party of Chile #34 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
If Republican Party of Chile can capitalize on current trends, consecutive gains tend to compound through media coverage, donor confidence and bandwagon polling effects. Watch whether the next round of releases confirms the average above 20.1% — a hold above that line would signal consolidation rather than a single-poll outlier, while a second straight quarterly gain would put rivals under severe strategic pressure.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Chile
Quarterly Δ
+8.1 pts
Polling analysis
Republican Party of Chile (PLR) polls at 20.1% in Chile: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
Republican Party of Chile is currently averaging 20.1% in national polling, reflecting a 8.1% shift upward over the last quarter. Republican Party of Chile currently sits at 20.1% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Panel Ciudadano, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 20.1% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. If the next releases confirm Republican Party of Chile above 20.1%, the quarter counts as consolidation rather than noise. See the full Chile polling tracker for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
Republican ideology is Pinochet-nostalgic conservatism updated for the crime wave: God, fatherland, family and the free market of the Chicago Boys. It demands border militarisation against Venezuelan migration, deportations, lower age of criminal responsibility, an empowered Carabineros and pardons for aging military prisoners framed as reconciliation.
Voters asking "who is Republican Party of Chile?" or "what does Republican Party of Chile stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, national conservatism, economic liberalism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 20.1% and where further growth must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 20.1% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Panel Ciudadano, Activa, Atlas Intel, Black & White, Criteria — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Chile include Cadem, Criteria, CEP, Data Influye, Panel Ciudadano, Activa — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panel Ciudadano | 21.0% | — | +8.1% | 30–31 Oct 2025 |
| Activa | 16.9% | — | +0.1% | 28–31 Oct 2025 |
| Atlas Intel | 16.8% | — | -6.2% | 25–30 Oct 2025 |
| Black & White | 23.0% | — | 0.0% | 28–29 Oct 2025 |
| Criteria | 23.0% | — | 0.0% | 27–29 Oct 2025 |
Party profile
Republican Party of Chile: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on Republican Party of Chile of Chile — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
The Republican Party of Chile (Partido Republicano, PLR) was founded in June 2019 by Jose Antonio Kast — the son of a German Wehrmacht veteran turned businessman — after his 2017 independent presidential run showed a market to the right of the UDI. Kast and the 2017 8 percent became 28 percent in the November 2021 first round, topping the right before losing the run-off to Gabriel Boric 44-56. The party then led the 2023 constitutional-council elections with 35 percent, drafting a conservative charter that voters rejected that December — a defeat that dented Kast and the inevitability narrative. Through municipal and regional contests the Republicans built mayoral beachheads while fending off the Social Christian split. Kast and the third presidential bid in 2025, fronted on crime, immigration and economic stagnation themes, kept him competitive in a fragmented field against the Chile Vamos successor candidacies. By 2026 the PLR polled in the low teens nationally, entrenched as the Chilean right and the pole with coalition leverage over any future right-wing government. Kast and the 2026 municipal apparatus, built methodically commune by commune, gave the Republicans the territorial depth their presidential campaigns had lacked.
Ideology
Republican ideology is Pinochet-nostalgic conservatism updated for the crime wave: God, fatherland, family and the free market of the Chicago Boys. It demands border militarisation against Venezuelan migration, deportations, lower age of criminal responsibility, an empowered Carabineros and pardons for aging military prisoners framed as reconciliation. Economically it preaches AFP pension defence, tax cuts and deregulation against Boric and the statist reforms. Socially it opposes abortion liberalisation, gender-identity laws and comprehensive sex education, defending confessional schooling. The party admires the 1980 constitution and the economic model while distancing in language from dictatorship-era crimes. Foreign policy aligns with the US right and Bukele-style security exports. Scholars place it as the Chilean radical right: authoritarian-nostalgic, neoliberal and evangelical-adjacent. On pensions it defends individual capitalisation against solidarity-pillar reforms, aligning retirees and young contributors in a single bloc.
Voter demographics
Republican voters are evangelicals, retirees of the armed forces, La Reina-Las Condes conservatives, southern farmers and northern mining-town security voters. Men, older voters and the religious right over-index; Mapuche-conflict zones in Araucania deliver striking scores. The party wins among private-sector employees fearful of crime and among Venezuelan-legal-migrant employers paradoxically demanding closed doors behind them. Youth, students, feminists, public-sector teachers and Santiago and the cultural left reject it. Former UDI voters are the main reservoir; former abstainers mobilised by fear complete the base. Turnout with compulsory voting (reintroduced) expanded the Republican electorate by forcing peripheral conservatives to the polls. Pentecostal pastors in La Pintana and Puente Alto function as electoral brokers, delivering Sunday congregations to Monday polls.
FAQ
Republican Party of Chile polls: frequently asked questions
What is Republican Party of Chile polling at in 2026?
Republican Party of Chile polls 20.1% in Chile as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is Republican Party of Chile rising or falling in the polls?
Republican Party of Chile is rising: ++8.1 points this quarter in Chile, with the poll average at 20.1%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the Republican Party of Chile polling average calculated?
The 20.1% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Chile — including the latest from Panel Ciudadano. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for Republican Party of Chile?
The next Presidential in Chile is expected around 2025 (2025-11-16). Republican Party of Chile heads into that race averaging 20.1% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does Republican Party of Chile compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
Republican Party of Chile ranks #34 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (20.1%) — 3.8 points below the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do encuestas polls say about Republican Party of Chile?
In Chile, "encuestas" searches land on the same verified average: Republican Party of Chile (PLR) polls 20.1% as of October 2026 ahead of the Cámara de Diputados race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Cadem / Criteria / CEP polls say about PLR?
Accredited houses tracked for Chile include Cadem, Criteria, CEP. The 20.1% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Cadem release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
