PVV polls 2026: 18.0% average & trends in Netherlands

Key issues & ideology

Wilders and the programme is Islam-critical, nativist and EU-sceptic with left-leaning economic instincts. It demands a ban on mosques and the Quran it will never achieve, closed borders, an asylum stop, denaturalisation of criminal dual nationals and a binding referendum on Nexit.

Voters asking "who is PVV?" or "what does PVV stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, eurosceptic, national conservatism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 18.0% and where further recovery must come from.

Pollster breakdown: how the 18.0% average is built

The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Peil.nl, Verian, Ipsos I&O — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Netherlands include I&O Research, Peil.nl, EenVandaag, Ipsos, De Stemming, Kantar Public — see Methodology for inclusion rules.

Ideology

Wilders and the programme is Islam-critical, nativist and EU-sceptic with left-leaning economic instincts. It demands a ban on mosques and the Quran it will never achieve, closed borders, an asylum stop, denaturalisation of criminal dual nationals and a binding referendum on Nexit. Economically the PVV defends pensions, healthcare, social housing priority for Dutch nationals and lower energy bills — welfare chauvinism funded by cutting development aid, EU contributions and climate subsidies. It champions farmers against nitrogen rules, fishermen against wind farms, and motorists against speed limits. Law-and-order and the positions are hardline: more police, minimum sentences, anti-terror vigilance. The party is staunchly pro-Israel, uniquely so on the European right, and Atlanticist on defence while opposing eurozone bailouts. Political scientists classify it as the archetypal anti-Islam populist radical-right party, with a working-class economic profile that embarrasses the VVD.

Voter demographics

PVV voters are the squeezed middle-bottom: vocational workers, transport and logistics staff, cleaners, security guards and early retirees in the Randstad periphery, Brabant, Limburg and the former industrial towns. Men outnumber women; under-40s and over-65s both over-index; practical education dominates. The party feasts on housing queues, hospital waits and street-level nuisance, real or perceived. Catholics in the south and secular natives in new towns back it strongly; Muslims, students, teachers and Amsterdam canal-belt progressives reject it almost entirely. Former SP and PvdA voters supply converts on the left flank, former VVD voters on the right. Turnout among PVV sympathisers is volatile — rage mobilises, satisfaction demobilises — which explains the gap between its polling peaks and election results until the dam broke in 2023.