
National Rally (RN) polls 2026: 34.7% average & trends in France
France · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Ifop · October 2026 · Rank #9 worldwide
Party Leader
Jordan Bardella
Current Seats
126 / 577
Last Election
33.2% · 2024
Next Election
2027
More context: France polling tracker · election outlook
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
30.5%
6M average
32.5%
6M high
35.0%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 34.7% = mean of the last 3 verified readings · sources: Ifop, Harris Interactive, Odoxa
Ifop
32.0%
1,525
-3.0%
12–14 Oct 2026
Harris Interactive
35.0%
2,004
-2.0%
5–8 Oct 2026
Odoxa
37.0%
12,005
0.0%
24 Sep – 7 Oct 2026
Headline Ø 34.7% = mean of the last 3 verified readings from Ifop, Harris Interactive, Odoxa, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
National Rally (RN) — Rassemblement National polling analysis & live summary — France
October 2026 update: National Rally (RN) — Rassemblement National polls 34.7% in France (poll-of-polls avg of 3 recent verified polls), cooling -3.0 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Ifop, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts National Rally at #9 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Presidential on 2027-04-18 (in 184 days). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
National Rally polls 34.7% in France (poll-of-polls avg of 3 recent verified polls), down 3.0 points this quarter.
↘ Facing headwinds
National Rally has dropped by 3.0 points to a 34.7% average in France (poll-of-polls avg of 3 verified readings), with a +4.9 point shift across the verified window. The pullback does not erase its structural position — but it warrants attention. That places National Rally #9 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
The key question is whether this is consolidation or the start of a slide: a second consecutive quarterly decline would suggest the 3.0-point drop is a trend rather than noise. The next round of releases is the decisive test — stabilisation near 34.7% would indicate a floor, while further erosion would force a rethink of strategy, messaging and voter targeting.
Verified basis
3 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
France
Quarterly Δ
-3.0 pts
Polling analysis
National Rally (RN) polls at 34.7% in France: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
National Rally is currently averaging 34.7% in national polling, reflecting a 3.0% shift downward over the last quarter. National Rally (locally listed as Rassemblement National) currently sits at 34.7% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Ifop, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 34.7% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. Stabilisation near 34.7% in the next releases would mark a floor; further erosion would confirm a slide. See the full France polling tracker and the upcoming election outlook for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
The RN combines nationalism with a statist economic programme often described as welfare chauvinism: generous social protection reserved for French citizens. It demands sharp reductions in immigration, including asylum restrictions, deportations of foreign criminals and the abolition of state medical aid for undocumented migrants, alongside a constitutional priority for French nationals in housing, jobs and benefits.
Voters asking "who is National Rally?" or "what does National Rally stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, eurosceptic, national conservatism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 34.7% and where further recovery must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 34.7% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Ifop, Harris Interactive, Odoxa — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for France include Ifop, Ipsos, Elabe, Odoxa, Harris Interactive, OpinionWay — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ifop | 32.0% | 1,525 | -3.0% | 12–14 Oct 2026 |
| Harris Interactive | 35.0% | 2,004 | -2.0% | 5–8 Oct 2026 |
| Odoxa | 37.0% | 12,005 | 0.0% | 24 Sep – 7 Oct 2026 |
Party profile
National Rally: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on National Rally of France — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
The National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) was founded in 1972 as the National Front (Front National) by Jean-Marie Le Pen, uniting nationalists, former Poujadists and elements of the far right. For a decade it was marginal, but proportional representation in the 1986 legislative election gave it 35 seats and a national platform. Le Pen and the shock qualification for the 2002 presidential run-off, which he lost overwhelmingly to Jacques Chirac, defined the party and the image problem: a protest force incapable of winning power. Marine Le Pen, who succeeded her father in 2011, pursued a strategy of de-demonisation, expelling overt antisemites and softening the party and the economic programme. She reached the presidential run-off in both 2017 and 2022, steadily raising her vote share, while the party built local roots through municipal and regional victories. Renamed National Rally in 2018, it became the largest single opposition group after the 2022 legislative elections and won the 2024 European election in France with around 31 percent, triggering a snap parliament that delivered the RN and its allies their largest-ever contingent. Jordan Bardella, the party and the young president since 2021, fronted the 2024 campaign and the 2027 presidential project.
Ideology
The RN combines nationalism with a statist economic programme often described as welfare chauvinism: generous social protection reserved for French citizens. It demands sharp reductions in immigration, including asylum restrictions, deportations of foreign criminals and the abolition of state medical aid for undocumented migrants, alongside a constitutional priority for French nationals in housing, jobs and benefits. On law and order it proposes tougher sentencing, more police and the expulsion of foreign offenders. Economically it defends pensions, public services and purchasing power, having abandoned earlier neoliberal flirtations and its former call to leave the euro, now favouring a Europe of nations that repatriates sovereignty while keeping the single currency. The party presents secularism (laicite) as a weapon against Islamism, supporting bans on visible religious symbols in more public spaces. Analysts place it on the radical right: nativist and authoritarian on culture, protectionist and interventionist on economics, distinct from both the liberal right and the left.
Voter demographics
The RN electorate is disproportionately working-class: blue-collar workers, clerical employees, the unemployed and voters with vocational or no qualifications form its core. It dominates in the deindustrialised north and east, the Mediterranean south and rural peripheries marked by factory closures and declining public services — the France described as peripheral. Age patterns have shifted dramatically: once the party of older protest voters, it now polls strongly among voters under 35, with Bardella and the particular appeal to young men. The RN remains weaker among university graduates, senior executives, teachers and residents of Paris and the largest cities, though it has grown steadily among women, closing much of the historic gender gap. Abstention is the party and the main rival: its voters turn out less reliably than those of the left or centre, making mobilisation decisive. Second-generation immigrant voters occasionally support the RN on security and secularism grounds, but the party and the weakest scores remain in diverse banlieues.
FAQ
National Rally polls: frequently asked questions
What is National Rally polling at in 2026?
National Rally polls 34.7% in France as of October 2026, based on the last 3 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is National Rally rising or falling in the polls?
National Rally is falling: -3.0 points this quarter in France, with the poll average at 34.7%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the National Rally polling average calculated?
The 34.7% headline is the mean of the last 3 verified readings in France — including the latest from Ifop. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for National Rally?
The next Presidential in France is scheduled for 2027 (2027-04-18). National Rally heads into that race averaging 34.7% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does National Rally compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
National Rally ranks #9 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (34.7%) — 10.8 points above the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do sondages polls say about National Rally (Rassemblement National)?
In France, "sondages" searches land on the same verified average: National Rally (RN) polls 34.7% as of October 2026 ahead of the Assemblée nationale race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Ifop / Ipsos / Elabe polls say about RN?
Accredited houses tracked for France include Ifop, Ipsos, Elabe. The 34.7% headline is the mean of the last 3 verified readings — so no single Ifop release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.






