Sweden Democrats (SD) polls 2026: 18.9% average & trends in Sweden
Sweden · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Novus · October 2026 · Rank #36 worldwide
Party Leader
Jimmie Åkesson
Current Seats
73 / 349
Last Election
20.5% · 2022
Next Election
2026
More context: Sweden polling tracker
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
17.5%
6M average
20.0%
6M high
21.3%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 18.9% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: Novus exitpoll, SVT, Novus, Demoskop, Infostat
Novus exitpoll
18.5%
4,045
+1.0%
13 Sep
SVT
17.2%
13,709
-2.3%
13 Sep
Novus
19.5%
5,928
+0.5%
9–11 Sep
Demoskop
19.0%
1,419
-1.2%
7–11 Sep
Infostat
20.2%
2,578
0.0%
5–11 Sep
Headline Ø 18.9% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from Novus exitpoll, SVT, Novus, Demoskop, Infostat, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
Sweden Democrats (SD) — Sverigedemokraterna polling analysis & live summary — Sweden
October 2026 update: Sweden Democrats (SD) — Sverigedemokraterna polls 18.9% in Sweden (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), rising +1.0 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Novus, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts Sweden Democrats at #36 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: General on 2026-09-13 (held). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
Sweden Democrats polls 18.9% in Sweden (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), up 1.0 points this quarter.
↗ Surging momentum
Sweden Democrats polls 18.9% in Sweden (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), gaining +1.0 points over the last quarter with a +0.5 point move across the verified window. That places Sweden Democrats #36 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
If Sweden Democrats can capitalize on current trends, consecutive gains tend to compound through media coverage, donor confidence and bandwagon polling effects. Watch whether the next round of releases confirms the average above 18.9% — a hold above that line would signal consolidation rather than a single-poll outlier, while a second straight quarterly gain would put rivals under severe strategic pressure.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Sweden
Quarterly Δ
+1.0 pts
Polling analysis
Sweden Democrats (SD) polls at 18.9% in Sweden: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
Sweden Democrats is currently averaging 18.9% in national polling, reflecting a 1.0% shift upward over the last quarter. Sweden Democrats (locally listed as Sverigedemokraterna) currently sits at 18.9% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Novus, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 18.9% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. If the next releases confirm Sweden Democrats above 18.9%, the quarter counts as consolidation rather than noise. See the full Sweden polling tracker for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
SD ideology is national-conservative with folkhemmet (people and the home) nostalgia: the strong welfare state rebuilt for Swedes, threatened by immigration, multiculturalism and crime. It demands the EU and the strictest asylum regime, deportation of criminal migrants, citizenship revocation, language and values requirements, and a values-based canon in schools.
Voters asking "who is Sweden Democrats?" or "what does Sweden Democrats stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, national conservatism, right-wing populism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 18.9% and where further growth must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 18.9% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Novus exitpoll, SVT, Novus, Demoskop, Infostat — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Sweden include Novus, Sifo, Demoskop, Ipsos, SKOP, Indikator Opinion — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novus exitpoll | 18.5% | 4,045 | +1.0% | 13 Sep |
| SVT | 17.2% | 13,709 | -2.3% | 13 Sep |
| Novus | 19.5% | 5,928 | +0.5% | 9–11 Sep |
| Demoskop | 19.0% | 1,419 | -1.2% | 7–11 Sep |
| Infostat | 20.2% | 2,578 | 0.0% | 5–11 Sep |
Party profile
Sweden Democrats: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on Sweden Democrats of Sweden — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
The Sweden Democrats (Sverigedemokraterna, SD) descend from the 1988 merger of the Sweden Party and white-power fragments — origins involving uniformed marches and skinhead links that opponents never let voters forget. The clean-up began with Mikael Jansson and accelerated under Jimmie Akesson, leader since 2005, who expelled extremists, adopted the blue anemone logo and rebranded the party as social-conservative rather than nationalist. Parliamentary entry in 2010 (5.7 percent) broke the cordon rhetoric; 2014 (12.9) and 2018 (17.5) made SD the third force amid the 2015 refugee crisis. The 2022 election delivered 20.5 percent and second place, enabling the Tidö Agreement: a Moderate-led government with Christian Democrats and Liberals, sustained by SD votes in exchange for immigration and crime policies. The party has used its pivotal role to push deportation powers, anonymous witnesses, border controls and welfare restrictions while polishing ministerial respectability. By 2026 SD was entrenched as Sweden and the second pole, no longer protest but power.
Ideology
SD ideology is national-conservative with folkhemmet (people and the home) nostalgia: the strong welfare state rebuilt for Swedes, threatened by immigration, multiculturalism and crime. It demands the EU and the strictest asylum regime, deportation of criminal migrants, citizenship revocation, language and values requirements, and a values-based canon in schools. Crime policy is the second pillar: longer sentences, youth prisons, stop-and-search zones and gang denaturalisation. Economically the party is centre-left on welfare (pensions, healthcare, re-regulation) and centre-right on business, a combination that raids Social Democratic voters. It is pro-nuclear, sceptical of climate symbolism, traditional on family, and Atlanticist — NATO membership, once opposed, is now embraced with Russophobic zeal after Ukraine. The party calls itself social-conservative; researchers code it populist radical right, noting the gap between polished leadership and a grassroots where extremist scandals periodically surface.
Voter demographics
SD voters are working-class men in small industrial towns and southern Sweden: factory workers, drivers, assistant nurses and tradesmen in Scania, Blekinge and Smaland. The party dominates among LO union men — a historic realignment — and among voters with practical upper-secondary schooling. It is the largest party among first-time male voters in several elections, fuelled by gang-crime fears and gaming-adjacent media. Women, graduates, public-sector professionals and Stockholm inner-city residents resist; pensioners split between SD and the Moderates. Immigrants who arrived earliest and integrated sometimes vote SD on order-and-security grounds, while recent refugees vote left. Turnout is the constraint: SD sympathisers abstain at higher rates than others, so the party and the results track mobilisation, surging when immigration or crime dominates the news cycle.
FAQ
Sweden Democrats polls: frequently asked questions
What is Sweden Democrats polling at in 2026?
Sweden Democrats polls 18.9% in Sweden as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is Sweden Democrats rising or falling in the polls?
Sweden Democrats is rising: ++1.0 points this quarter in Sweden, with the poll average at 18.9%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the Sweden Democrats polling average calculated?
The 18.9% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Sweden — including the latest from Novus. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for Sweden Democrats?
The next General in Sweden is expected around 2026 (2026-09-13). Sweden Democrats heads into that race averaging 18.9% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does Sweden Democrats compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
Sweden Democrats ranks #36 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (18.9%) — 5.0 points below the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do opinionsmätning polls say about Sweden Democrats (Sverigedemokraterna)?
In Sweden, "opinionsmätning" searches land on the same verified average: Sweden Democrats (SD) polls 18.9% as of October 2026 ahead of the Riksdag race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Novus / Sifo / Demoskop polls say about SD?
Accredited houses tracked for Sweden include Novus, Sifo, Demoskop. The 18.9% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Novus release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
