Revival polls 2026: 5.2% average & trends in Bulgaria
Bulgaria · Right-wing Polling
Verified average · Trend · October 2026 · Rank #53 worldwide
Party Leader
Kostadin Kostadinov
Current Seats
33 / 240
Last Election
13.4% · 2024
Next Election
2030
More context: Bulgaria polling tracker · election outlook
Polling history · verified readings
Each point is a verified scrape record · hover for details
6M low
5.7%
6M average
11.6%
6M high
13.4%
Verified average · not a prediction
How the average is built
Ø 5.2% = mean of the last 5 verified readings · sources: Trend, Market Links, Gallup, Alpha Research
Trend
5.7%
1,003
-0.9%
26 Sep - 2 Oct 2026
Market Links
6.6%
1,006
+1.6%
26–29 Sep 2026
Gallup
5.0%
821
+0.5%
24 Jul–4 Aug 2026
Alpha Research
4.5%
1,000
+0.3%
17–23 Jul 2026
Market Links
4.2%
1,002
0.0%
11–19 Jul 2026
Headline Ø 5.2% = mean of the last 5 verified readings from Trend, Market Links, Gallup, Alpha Research, recorded 2026-10-15. Full verified history is plotted above — see Methodology.
Live summary · October 2026
Revival — Възраждане polling analysis & live summary — Bulgaria
October 2026 update: Revival — Възраждане polls 5.2% in Bulgaria (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), cooling -0.9 points on the quarter. Latest verified reading from Trend, recorded 2026-10-15.
That puts Revival at #53 of 56 tracked parties worldwide. Next vote: Parliamentary on 2030-06-30 (in 1353 days). The verified-history chart above plots every stored reading — persistence across releases, not a single headline, is the signal.
Analysis
What the numbers say
Revival polls 5.2% in Bulgaria (poll-of-polls avg of 5 recent verified polls), down 0.9 points this quarter.
↘ Facing headwinds
Revival has dropped by 0.9 points to a 5.2% average in Bulgaria (poll-of-polls avg of 5 verified readings), with a -5.2 point shift across the verified window. The pullback does not erase its structural position — but it warrants attention. That places Revival #53 of 56 tracked parties worldwide, with room to climb toward the leading pack.
The key question is whether this is consolidation or the start of a slide: a second consecutive quarterly decline would suggest the 0.9-point drop is a trend rather than noise. The next round of releases is the decisive test — stabilisation near 5.2% would indicate a floor, while further erosion would force a rethink of strategy, messaging and voter targeting.
Verified basis
5 recent polls
Last update
October 2026
Country
Bulgaria
Quarterly Δ
-0.9 pts
Polling analysis
Revival polls at 5.2% in Bulgaria: current standing, ideology and pollster breakdown
Current standing
Revival is currently averaging 5.2% in national polling, reflecting a 0.9% shift downward over the last quarter. Revival (locally listed as Възраждане) currently sits at 5.2% based on verified records. The figure is the mean of verified readings — no generated institutes, no interpolated weeks. Verified source: Trend, recorded 2026-10-15. accredited readings into a single 5.2% average — smoothing single-poll outliers and opposing house effects. Stabilisation near 5.2% in the next releases would mark a floor; further erosion would confirm a slide. See the full Bulgaria polling tracker and the upcoming election outlook for coalition context.
Key issues & ideology
Revival ideology is pro-Russian nationalism with anti-system populism: Bulgaria out of NATO dependency, no euro, no weapons for Kyiv, cheap Russian gas, and referendums on everything from the lev to gender. The party demands the renationalisation of energy distribution, pension hikes funded by oligarch-confiscation rhetoric, and the defence of the Bulgarian Orthodox family against Istanbul Convention ghosts.
Voters asking "who is Revival?" or "what does Revival stand for?" find the party classified here as atlanticism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 5.2% and where further recovery must come from.
Pollster breakdown: how the 5.2% average is built
The table below shows the verified readings behind the headline (Trend, Market Links, Gallup, Alpha Research — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Bulgaria include Alpha Research, Trend, Gallup International, Market Links, Sova Harris — see Methodology for inclusion rules.
| Pollster | Figure | Sample | Change | Fieldwork |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trend | 5.7% | 1,003 | -0.9% | 26 Sep - 2 Oct 2026 |
| Market Links | 6.6% | 1,006 | +1.6% | 26–29 Sep 2026 |
| Gallup | 5.0% | 821 | +0.5% | 24 Jul–4 Aug 2026 |
| Alpha Research | 4.5% | 1,000 | +0.3% | 17–23 Jul 2026 |
| Market Links | 4.2% | 1,002 | 0.0% | 11–19 Jul 2026 |
Party profile
Revival: history, ideology and voters
A concise reference on Revival of Bulgaria — where it comes from, what it stands for, and who votes for it.
History
Revival (Vazrazhdane) was founded in June 2014 by Kostadin Kostadinov, a historian and former VMRO activist from Varna, as a nationalist alternative to Boyko Borisov and the GERB machine. It lingered on the margins until the 2021-23 cycle of five elections in two years, entering parliament in November 2021 with 4.9 percent on anti-lockdown, anti-corruption and pro-Russian positioning. The Ukraine war transformed its fortunes: opposing weapons deliveries, EU sanctions and euro adoption, Revival absorbed protest votes to reach 13-14 percent through 2023-24, becoming the third force. Kostadinov and the permanent campaign — referendums against the euro and for the lev, marches honouring the 3rd of March liberation narrative, encampments outside parliament — kept it visible between cycles. Attempts by rivals to quarantine it failed; GERB needed its tacit tolerance at moments of hung parliament. Through 2025-26 Revival polled in the low teens, the loudest voice of a fragmented nationalist camp also containing Velichie and MECH, and the Kremlin and the favourite Bulgarian interlocutor. Kostadinov and the 2026 lev-referendum signature drive, carried into parliament with hundreds of thousands of names, forced euro adoption onto the constitutional agenda.
Ideology
Revival ideology is pro-Russian nationalism with anti-system populism: Bulgaria out of NATO dependency, no euro, no weapons for Kyiv, cheap Russian gas, and referendums on everything from the lev to gender. The party demands the renationalisation of energy distribution, pension hikes funded by oligarch-confiscation rhetoric, and the defence of the Bulgarian Orthodox family against Istanbul Convention ghosts. History politics glorifies the 1878 liberation by Russia and the socialist-era industrial nostalgia alongside pre-communist irredentism toward Macedonia. COVID-era vaccine scepticism built its activist base. Stylistically it is street confrontational: egg-throwing, office occupations, EU-flag burnings. Analysts classify it as far-right with a Russophile core distinct from the Turkophobe nationalism of VMRO-Ataka predecessors — the axis shifted from Kardzhali to Kyiv. On agriculture it demands the restoration of Bulgarian food-processing capacity and import barriers against Ukrainian grain.
Voter demographics
Revival voters are the angry young and the nostalgic old: under-35 men radicalised on Telegram and TikTok, plus pensioners mourning socialist security. The party overperforms in Varna, Ruse and the Danube towns, among vocational youth, taxi drivers, small traders and diaspora returnees. Women, graduates, Sofia professionals and Turkish-minority voters (DPS loyalists) reject it. Former BSP voters supply the Russophile wing, former ITN/Slava Trifonov voters the protest wing. Education predicts opposition steeply. Turnout is movement-like: referendum campaigns mobilise sympathisers efficiently, giving Revival outsized influence relative to its polling. Bulgarian guest workers returning from Western Europe, disillusioned with both migration and the homeland, form a volatile but growing contingent.
FAQ
Revival polls: frequently asked questions
What is Revival polling at in 2026?
Revival polls 5.2% in Bulgaria as of October 2026, based on the last 5 verified readings. The figure updates with every verified release.
Is Revival rising or falling in the polls?
Revival is falling: -0.9 points this quarter in Bulgaria, with the poll average at 5.2%. A second consecutive quarterly move in the same direction would confirm the trend.
How is the Revival polling average calculated?
The 5.2% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings in Bulgaria — including the latest from Trend. Full rules are on our Methodology page.
When is the next election for Revival?
The next Parliamentary in Bulgaria is expected around 2030 (2030-06-30). Revival heads into that race averaging 5.2% — the number to watch as the campaign takes shape.
How does Revival compare to other right-wing parties worldwide?
Revival ranks #53 of 56 tracked parties by verified polling average (5.2%) — 18.7 points below the 23.9% board mean. The leaderboard on our overview page re-sorts with every verified release.
What do социологически проучвания polls say about Revival (Възраждане)?
In Bulgaria, "социологически проучвания" searches land on the same verified average: Revival (R) polls 5.2% as of October 2026 ahead of the Narodno sabranie race. Local trackers and our poll-of-polls converge on this figure — single surveys move it only if confirmed.
What do Alpha Research / Trend / Gallup International polls say about R?
Accredited houses tracked for Bulgaria include Alpha Research, Trend, Gallup International. The 5.2% headline is the mean of the last 5 verified readings — so no single Alpha Research release decides it alone; persistence across houses is the signal. See Methodology for inclusion rules.
