Vox polls 2026: 18.8% average & trends in Spain

Key issues & ideology

Vox ideology is Spanish nationalist centralism: suspension of Catalan and Basque autonomy, outlawing separatist parties, recentralising education and health, and celebrating Hispanic heritage including the Reconquista. Immigration policy demands deportations, walls at Ceuta and Melilla, and the end of pull-factor regularisations; Islamist mosques funded from abroad would be closed.

Voters asking "who is Vox?" or "what does Vox stand for?" find the party classified here as anti-immigration, national conservatism, economic liberalism — positioning that explains both its ceiling near 18.8% and where further growth must come from.

Pollster breakdown: how the 18.8% average is built

The table below shows the verified reading behind the headline (CIS — each row names its pollster so the source is fully transparent). Accredited houses tracked for Spain include CIS, GAD3, Sigma Dos, 40dB, NC Report, Simple Lógica — see Methodology for inclusion rules.

Ideology

Vox ideology is Spanish nationalist centralism: suspension of Catalan and Basque autonomy, outlawing separatist parties, recentralising education and health, and celebrating Hispanic heritage including the Reconquista. Immigration policy demands deportations, walls at Ceuta and Melilla, and the end of pull-factor regularisations; Islamist mosques funded from abroad would be closed. Economically the party began as radical liberal (flat tax, ministry closures) and retains tax-cutting zeal with growing workerist rhetoric. It is anti-feminist on gender-violence law (demanding a neutral domestic-violence statute), pro-life, pro-bullfighting and hunting, climate-sceptic and hostile to Agenda 2030. Atlanticist and pro-Israel abroad, it cultivates Latin American anti-socialist alliances and Meloni-Orban networks in Europe. Scholars place Vox as the first successful radical-right party of post-Franco Spain: national-Catholic in culture, neoliberal in economics, populist in style.

Voter demographics

Vox voters are young men, soldiers, police, small farmers and conservative professionals in Madrid, Murcia, Andalusia and the Valencian interior. It dominates among under-35 males — the only major party with such a profile — and among voters radicalised by the Catalan procés. Practising Catholics, bullfighting aficionados and hunting communities over-index; teachers, cultural workers and Catalan and Basque speakers reject it overwhelmingly. The party wins middle incomes rather than the poor: its electorate is more aspirational-suburban than marginal. Women lag men substantially amid feminist backlash framing. Former PP voters are the main supply, with Ciudadanos and the orphans as reinforcements. Abstentionist right-wingers reactivated by identity panic complete the coalition — a base that surges on territorial crisis and subsides when the PP looks like a winning useful vote.