El Salvador · Polling tracker
El Salvador election polls & right-wing momentum
Verified tracking of political polls in El Salvador. Nuevas Ideas polls 51.3% in our verified average (-7.4 points this quarter), with momentum, vote-share history and election countdown updated from verified public polls. Anyone searching "El Salvador polls", "who is winning or leading in El Salvador" or "Nuevas Ideas poll tracker" lands here for the current number — then the dossier below for what it means.
Tracked in El Salvador · 1 party
Verified average (Ø) · quarterly change
- Right-Wing PopulismOpen Nuevas Ideas dossier →
Analysis
El Salvador right-wing momentum: what the 51.3% average says
Nuevas Ideas currently sits at 51.3% in the verified average for El Salvador — -7.4 points on the quarter and the number every "El Salvador election polls" search is really asking about. The average is the mean of the last verified readings, so a single friendly or hostile survey cannot move it alone; persistence across records is the signal.
Context matters: Nuevas Ideas, led by Nayib Bukele (54 / 60 seats, last national result 54.7% · 2024, next vote 2027), is classified here as right-wing populism. With the Legislative 135 days out, the question is whether 51.3% is a floor or a ceiling — the trajectory into election week decides coalition math.
Methodology in one line: mean of the last verified readings, no generated data — see Methodology and the open polls.json feed. Compare with the global polls hub or jump to the Nuevas Ideas dossier for charts and institute-level detail.
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Canonical source for this page: https://rightwingpolling.com/polls/el-salvador