Estonia election polls & right-wing momentum

Conservative People’s Party of Estonia currently sits at 12.8% in the verified average for Estonia — +2.4 points on the quarter and the number every "Estonia election polls" search is really asking about. The average is the mean of the last verified readings, so a single friendly or hostile survey cannot move it alone; persistence across records is the signal.

Context matters: Conservative People’s Party of Estonia, led by Martin Helme (17 / 101 seats, last national result 16.1% · 2023, next vote 2027), is classified here as economic liberalism, social conservatism. With the Parliamentary 142 days out, the question is whether 12.8% is a floor or a ceiling — the trajectory into election week decides coalition math.

Methodology in one line: mean of the last verified readings, no generated data — see Methodology and the open polls.json feed. Compare with the global polls hub or jump to the Conservative People’s Party of Estonia dossier for charts and institute-level detail.