Iceland · Polling tracker
Iceland election polls & right-wing momentum
Verified tracking of political polls in Iceland. Independence Party polls 19.4% in our verified average (+0.0 points this quarter), with momentum, vote-share history and election countdown updated from verified public polls. Anyone searching "Iceland polls", "who is winning or leading in Iceland" or "Independence Party poll tracker" lands here for the current number — then the dossier below for what it means.
Tracked in Iceland · 1 party
Verified average (Ø) · quarterly change
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Independence Party polls: 19.4% averageBjarni Benediktsson · 14 / 63 seats · Next: 2028
19.4%
→ +0.0 pts
National ConservatismRight-Wing PopulismAtlanticismOpen Independence Party dossier →
Analysis
Iceland right-wing momentum: what the 19.4% average says
Independence Party currently sits at 19.4% in the verified average for Iceland — +0.0 points on the quarter and the number every "Iceland election polls" search is really asking about. The average is the mean of the last verified readings, so a single friendly or hostile survey cannot move it alone; persistence across records is the signal.
Context matters: Independence Party, led by Bjarni Benediktsson (14 / 63 seats, last national result 19.4% · 2024, next vote 2028), is classified here as national conservatism, right-wing populism, atlanticism. With the Parliamentary 776 days out, the question is whether 19.4% is a floor or a ceiling — the trajectory into election week decides coalition math.
Methodology in one line: mean of the last verified readings, no generated data — see Methodology and the open polls.json feed. Compare with the global polls hub or jump to the Independence Party dossier for charts and institute-level detail.
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Canonical source for this page: https://rightwingpolling.com/polls/iceland