Ireland · Polling tracker
Ireland election polls & right-wing momentum
Verified tracking of political polls in Ireland. Independent Ireland polls 5.6% in our verified average (+1.0 points this quarter), with momentum, vote-share history and election countdown updated from verified public polls. Anyone searching "Ireland polls", "who is winning or leading in Ireland" or "Independent Ireland poll tracker" lands here for the current number — then the dossier below for what it means.
Tracked in Ireland · 1 party
Verified average (Ø) · quarterly change
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Independent Ireland polls: 5.6% averageMichael Collins · 4 / 174 seats · Next: 2028
5.6%
↗ +1.0 pts
Social ConservatismLaw and OrderRight-Wing PopulismOpen Independent Ireland dossier →
Analysis
Ireland right-wing momentum: what the 5.6% average says
Independent Ireland currently sits at 5.6% in the verified average for Ireland — +1.0 points on the quarter and the number every "Ireland election polls" search is really asking about. The average is the mean of the last verified readings, so a single friendly or hostile survey cannot move it alone; persistence across records is the signal.
Context matters: Independent Ireland, led by Michael Collins (4 / 174 seats, last national result 3.6% · 2024, next vote 2028), is classified here as social conservatism, law and order, right-wing populism. With the next national date unconfirmed, the polling average doubles as the campaign baseline — every point of drift redraws the field before dates are even set.
Methodology in one line: mean of the last verified readings, no generated data — see Methodology and the open polls.json feed. Compare with the global polls hub or jump to the Independent Ireland dossier for charts and institute-level detail.
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Canonical source for this page: https://rightwingpolling.com/polls/ireland