Poland · Polling tracker
Poland election polls & right-wing momentum
Verified tracking of political polls in Poland. Law and Justice polls 21.0% in our verified average (-15.8 points this quarter), with momentum, vote-share history and election countdown updated from verified public polls. Anyone searching "Poland polls", "who is winning or leading in Poland" or "Law and Justice poll tracker" lands here for the current number — then the dossier below for what it means.
Tracked in Poland · 1 party
Verified average (Ø) · quarterly change
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Law and Justice polls: 21.0% averageJarosław Kaczyński · 194 / 460 seats · Next: 2027
21.0%
↘ -15.8 pts
EuroscepticNational ConservatismRight-Wing PopulismAtlanticismOpen Law and Justice dossier →
Analysis
Poland right-wing momentum: what the 21.0% average says
Law and Justice currently sits at 21.0% in the verified average for Poland — -15.8 points on the quarter and the number every "Poland election polls" search is really asking about. The average is the mean of the last verified readings, so a single friendly or hostile survey cannot move it alone; persistence across records is the signal.
Context matters: Law and Justice, led by Jarosław Kaczyński (194 / 460 seats, last national result 35.4% · 2023, next vote 2027), is classified here as eurosceptic, national conservatism, right-wing populism, atlanticism. With the Parliamentary 391 days out, the question is whether 21.0% is a floor or a ceiling — the trajectory into election week decides coalition math.
Methodology in one line: mean of the last verified readings, no generated data — see Methodology and the open polls.json feed. Compare with the global polls hub or jump to the Law and Justice dossier for charts and institute-level detail.
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Canonical source for this page: https://rightwingpolling.com/polls/poland